Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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C Forecast Markets
Citigroup Inc.
3
Active Markets
4
Resolved
55%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Citigroup's FY2026 adjusted ROTCE reach or exceed 10.0%?
48%
Likely No
88% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Citigroup receive at least one additional consent order article termination by year-end 2026?
46%
Likely No
84% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Citigroup's FY2026 reported efficiency ratio be below 61%?
55%
Likely Yes
90% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.36
Will Citigroup's Q1 2026 adjusted ROTCE be above 9%?
61%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.160Apr 20, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Citigroup's Q1 2026 Services segment ROTCE be above 25%?
84%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.026Apr 20, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Citigroup's Q1 2026 branded cards NCL rate be above 4.0%?
23%
Likely No
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.593Apr 20, 2026
IG: 0.36
Will Citigroup's Q1 2026 common share repurchases exceed $3.0B?
72%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.078Apr 20, 2026
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
Jan 15, 2027
Will Citigroup receive at least one additional consent order article termination by year-end 2026?Prediction: 46%