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C Forecast Markets

Citigroup Inc.

3
Active Markets
4
Resolved
55%
Avg Probability
Price Below Value
Apr 13, 2026

Our prediction ensemble suggests potential upside from current levels.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

7 markets

Will Citigroup's FY2026 adjusted ROTCE reach or exceed 10.0%?

Active
48%
Likely No
88% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.80

Will Citigroup receive at least one additional consent order article termination by year-end 2026?

Active
46%
Likely No
84% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will Citigroup's FY2026 reported efficiency ratio be below 61%?

Active
55%
Likely Yes
90% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.36

Will Citigroup's Q1 2026 adjusted ROTCE be above 9%?

Resolved
61%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.160
Apr 20, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will Citigroup's Q1 2026 Services segment ROTCE be above 25%?

Resolved
84%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.026
Apr 20, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will Citigroup's Q1 2026 branded cards NCL rate be above 4.0%?

Resolved
23%
Likely No
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.593
Apr 20, 2026
IG: 0.36

Will Citigroup's Q1 2026 common share repurchases exceed $3.0B?

Resolved
72%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.078
Apr 20, 2026
IG: 0.36

Resolution Timeline

Apr 18, 2026RESOLVED
Will Citigroup's Q1 2026 adjusted ROTCE be above 9%?
YESBrier: 0.16
Apr 18, 2026RESOLVED
Will Citigroup's Q1 2026 Services segment ROTCE be above 25%?
YESBrier: 0.03
Apr 18, 2026RESOLVED
Will Citigroup's Q1 2026 branded cards NCL rate be above 4.0%?
YESBrier: 0.59
Apr 18, 2026RESOLVED
Will Citigroup's Q1 2026 common share repurchases exceed $3.0B?
YESBrier: 0.08
Jan 15, 2027
Will Citigroup receive at least one additional consent order article termination by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 46%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Citigroup's FY2026 adjusted ROTCE reach or exceed 10.0%?
Prediction: 48%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Citigroup's FY2026 reported efficiency ratio be below 61%?
Prediction: 55%