Editorial & Disclosure
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Runchey Research is an independent, one-person publisher of educational research and probabilistic forecasts. I am not a registered investment advisor and nothing here is personalized financial guidance.
Positions
I may hold positions in securities or prediction-market contracts related to topics covered here. Any position in a specific company discussed in a piece is disclosed in that piece. Long-term holdings in diversified index funds are not disclosed per-article. I do not trade around publications to front-run readers.
Long-Term Equity: As of 2026-07-03, the fund holds long positions in NFLX, COMP, GTLB, NVO, LLY, AMZN, and NVDA. These positions are subject to a 48-hour quiet period around published research.
Event-Driven & Tactical: As of 2026-07-03, the fund holds put options on MU, put options on DRAM, put options on NVDA, put options on QQQ, call options on ADBE, and call options on PYPL. These are time-sensitive positions tied to specific catalysts and may be adjusted immediately following the public dissemination of the relevant event.
View our full Editorial Integrity & Disclosure Policy for trading window details.
How the Work Is Produced
Research and forecasts are produced with AI-augmented pipelines — multiple models used for data gathering, structured analysis, and cross-checking — under my direction and review. AI models can err and their training data can be stale; the pipelines reduce those risks but don't eliminate them. Verify any financial figure against primary sources before relying on it. Forecasts carry explicit resolution criteria and are scored when they resolve; the scores stay published either way.
Corrections
Factual errors in published content get a dated correction notice on the affected page. Updated assessments driven by new information are labeled as updates, not corrections — a forecast changing when facts change is the process working. Found an error? Contact me.
Independence
No pay-for-play, no sponsored coverage, no compensation from any company or campaign discussed here. Topics are chosen on analytical interest alone.
This policy applies to all content on runcheyresearch.com. Runchey Research LLC is an independent publisher of educational content. Nothing on this site constitutes investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or personalized financial guidance. See the Terms of Service for complete legal terms.