Research Archive
The first era of Runchey Research: broad equity, macro, and sector coverage built on structured debates between frontier AI models. This work is no longer actively updated, but everything remains published at its original URL — including the forecast markets and their resolution scores, which stand as a verifiable track record.
Notes on the July 2026 transitionEquity Analyses
260+ multi-lens equity deep dives — forensic accounting, moats, unit economics, and more, each built from structured multi-model debate.
BrowseEquity Forecast Markets
2,300+ AI-ensemble forecast markets with resolutions, Brier scores, and calibration tracking.
BrowseMacro Themes
Fed policy and inflation themes analyzed through paired conditional markets that quantify causal effects.
BrowseSector Deep-Dives
Industry-level analysis mapping competitive dynamics, consolidation, and disruption exposure across peer groups.
BrowsePlay Portfolio
Committee-driven paper portfolio with Kelly sizing, trade journal, and performance tracking.
BrowseFramework (Era 1)
The lens, signal, and persona methodology behind the archive — how the multi-model discourse worked.
BrowseBlog
Nearly 300 dated long-form deep dives and methodology posts.
BrowseNews
Dated earnings updates, coverage notes, and platform announcements.
Browse