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CEG Forecast Markets
Constellation Energy
7
Active Markets
49%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Constellation announce a signed hyperscaler data center PPA (beyond Microsoft TMI) by Q3 2026 earnings?
48%
Likely No
92% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Constellation's FY2026 standalone operating income exceed FY2025's $3,086M?
50%
Likely No
92% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Three Mile Island Unit 1 receive NRC restart approval by December 31, 2026?
23%
Likely No
91% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will the DOJ approve the Constellation-Calpine acquisition by December 31, 2026?
65%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will PJM capacity auction clearing prices decline by more than 20% from the 2025-2026 auction for the 2026-2027 delivery year?
25%
Likely No
94% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Constellation's nuclear fleet capacity factor remain above 95% through H2 2026?
78%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.36
Will the combined Constellation-Calpine entity receive an investment-grade credit rating by YE2027?
57%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Jan 15, 2028
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
Nov 15, 2026
Will Constellation announce a signed hyperscaler data center PPA (beyond Microsoft TMI) by Q3 2026 earnings?Prediction: 48%
Jan 15, 2027
Will Three Mile Island Unit 1 receive NRC restart approval by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 23%
Jan 15, 2027
Will the DOJ approve the Constellation-Calpine acquisition by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 65%
Mar 15, 2027
Will Constellation's FY2026 standalone operating income exceed FY2025's $3,086M?Prediction: 50%
Mar 15, 2027
Will Constellation's nuclear fleet capacity factor remain above 95% through H2 2026?Prediction: 78%
Jan 15, 2028
Will the combined Constellation-Calpine entity receive an investment-grade credit rating by YE2027?Prediction: 57%