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Will Symbotic receive a clean ICFR opinion on its FY2026 10-K (filing expected Nov 2026)?

Resolves December 31, 2026(266d)
IG: 0.80

Current Prediction

32%
Likely No
Model Agreement95%
Predictions9 runs
Last UpdatedApril 8, 2026

Why This Question Matters

The adverse ICFR opinion is the most material red flag across all lenses. A clean FY2026 opinion would demonstrate remediation and warrant de-escalation from ALARMING to CONCERNING. Continued adverse opinion would confirm structural control deficiency, potentially triggering capital market access restrictions and further investigation risk.

ACCOUNTING_INTEGRITYGOVERNANCE_ALIGNMENT

Prediction Distribution

0%25%50%75%100%
opus
sonnet
haiku
Range: 25%40%Aggregate: 32%
Individual Predictions(9 runs)
opusRun 1
35%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.35 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 2 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 3 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinion
opusRun 2
40%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.4 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 2 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 3 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinion
opusRun 3
38%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.38 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 2 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 3 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinion
sonnetRun 1
30%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.3 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 2 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 3 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinion
sonnetRun 2
35%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.35 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 2 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 3 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinion
sonnetRun 3
32%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.32 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 2 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 3 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinion
haikuRun 1
28%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.28 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 2 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 3 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinion
haikuRun 2
30%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.3 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 2 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 3 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinion
haikuRun 3
25%

See prediction-context.md. Probability 0.25 based on analysis facts.

Key factor 1 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 2 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinionKey factor 3 for sym-fy2026-icfr-clean-opinion

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if SYM's FY2026 10-K receives an unqualified opinion on ICFR. Resolves NO if the opinion is adverse or qualified.

Resolution Source

SYM FY2026 10-K filing, auditor opinion section

Source Trigger

Adverse ICFR opinion (current, unremediated from FY2024 through FY2025). Grant Thornton issued adverse opinion on FY2025 10-K.

fugazi-filterACCOUNTING_INTEGRITYHIGH
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