Will aggregate co-brand credit card remuneration growth at DAL + UAL exceed 5% YoY in H1 2026?

Resolves August 15, 2026(146d)

IG: 0.45

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if both DAL and UAL report co-brand credit card partnership revenue growth above 5% YoY for Q1 2026 or Q2 2026 (whichever is reported first). Resolves NO if either carrier reports co-brand growth below 5% in H1 2026.

Resolution Source

DAL and UAL Q1/Q2 2026 earnings releases

Source Trigger

Loyalty platform insulation thesis — co-brand credit card revenue should be oil-insensitive, testing the sector's most important structural moat

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