AI Absorption Ledger / GS

Goldman Sachs

GS · Q2 2026 · reported 2026-07-14 · revenue $20.34bn

Assessment

Q2 2026 says more about AI than Q1 and still gives no number for any AI cost, saving or revenue. Inside the firm, the CFO said AI use started with productivity in engineering, using several large language model providers and engineers hired from outside, and that the technology lets people do more so that teams may not replace all leavers; he also said there has been no structural change in the expense base and that it is not a moment for a structural rework of the workforce. Headcount fell over the quarter, which the CFO credits to the firm’s efforts without separating AI from OneGS 3.0.

Engineering productivity opens with the ledger’s own ballpark of engineering payroll saved, ; every multiplier is a judgment, and the share of the gain taken as lower cost is set low because the CFO says the expense base has not changed structurally. The model bill, open since Q1, stays described and unsized: the CFO names relationships with several large language model providers but no charge, seat count or term. Build investment and firm-wide productivity stay described and unsized because AI is named beside general process rewiring; communications and technology rose to . The cyber toll reads not-mentioned: its only support is a 10-Q sentence carried word for word from the anchor’s annual report.

The revenue side carries most of the AI talk. The CEO said the AI investment cycle is contributing to earnings momentum and declined to say how much; Global Banking & Markets net revenues rose and investment banking fees . Financing for the AI build-out opens as its own channel because management itself tied it to AI; FICC and Equities financing rose . Neither is sized, and any of it that is the buildout is the buildout’s money passing through a bank.

Sized channels against the income statement, Q2 2026

1 of 7 channels sized

Each blue mark is one channel's dollars for the quarter; a bar is the range of an estimate. Grey marks are the company's reported lines. The distance between them is the point: how large the AI channel is next to the line it sits in.

New money and old money, Q2 2026

1 new3 expanded3 relabelled

Each channel is tagged once for whether its money existed before language models, from the company's annual report and call at the start of the period. A bar splits one flow's sized dollars by that tag. The incremental total is the part that would not be there without the models: a new channel counts in full, an expanded one only for what AI added, a relabelled one at zero.

Cost displaced by AI$122k to $35mn sized

expanded $122k to $35mn

Incremental total $122k to $35mnpoint $3.7mn

The sized total counts every channel the company credits to AI, including relabelled money that existed before language models and the ledger's own estimates for it. The incremental total counts relabelled channels at zero. A flow is split by layer where its dollars sit at more than one: end use, compute sold to builders, and hardware. The same dollar can be a buyer's spend, a cloud's revenue and a chipmaker's revenue, so the layers are never added together.

Paid for AI2 channels · 2 not sized

engineering

Internal investment in AI deployment: cloud, data and engineering

Not sized

The only statement of what the investment is for names AI together with general firm process rewiring (claim c8), and the engineers hired from outside are given no count or cost; nothing separates AI’s part (the methodology rule for AI named beside another cause). The ceilings are the rise in communications and technology, , and the line itself, .

described, no sizedisclosure: described· motive: exploratory· before LLMs: expanded

The CFO said the firm has capacity to keep investing in productivity opportunities that arise from AI and from general process rewiring, and that AI use started in engineering with engineers hired from outside. Communications and technology rose to ; the CFO put the rise in non-compensation expenses on transaction-based expenses. Because AI is named beside process rewiring, the ledger quotes the line as the ceiling and gives no ballpark, as in Q1.

Evidence: 3 quotes, 5 figures, 3 confounds, 2 from before coverage

Internal money spent so that AI can be deployed across the firm: the cloud migration and data work the CFO says is critical to optimizing the deployment of AI solutions, and the engineers hired from outside to deploy large language models. It sits in communications and technology and in compensation, neither split by purpose. The firm names AI beside its OneGS 3.0 operating program and general process rewiring as the reason for the spending, and gives no AI share. Separate from the outside model bill.

Why this motive

The CFO expects to keep investing in productivity opportunities from AI and process rewiring (claim c8) and describes engineers hired to deploy large language models (claim c15), with no measure: exploratory, carried from Q1.

Before LLMs: expanded

At the anchor the firm already had engineers applying machine learning and AI in its operations (claim gs-anchor-c2) and said AI and other new technologies had required it to invest resources (claim gs-anchor-c7); communications and technology expense was and compensation for FY2024. No AI share of either line was given then or since, so no quarter of the activity before AI can be traced. The size is the whole of an activity that existed before.

“For our own operations, we have a leading team of engineers dedicated to exploring and applying machine learning and artificial intelligence applications. We are focused on enhancing productivity, particularly for our developers, and increasing operating efficiency while maintaining a high bar for quality, security, and controls.”
CEO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2024-04-15
“In addition, the emergence, adoption and evolution of new technologies, including distributed ledgers, such as digital assets and blockchain, and AI technologies, have required us to invest resources to adapt our existing products and services, and we expect to continue to make such investments, which could be material.”
Filing, risk factors, 10-K periodic report, 2025-02-27

Figures

  • Communications and technology expense · 2026-CQ2
  • Communications and technology expense, prior year · 2025-CQ2
  • Communications and technology expense growth, year over year · 2026-CQ2
  • Communications and technology expense against the prior year · 2026-CQ2
  • Non-compensation expense growth, year over year in Q2, per the CFO · 2026-CQ2

What else could explain it

  • other: General firm process rewiring is named beside AI as what the investment fuels, with no split.
  • line composition: Communications and technology carries the whole technology bill and compensation the technologists, neither split by purpose.
  • transformation program: OneGS 3.0, whose cloud and data work the CFO described in Q1, frames the same spending and is not itself attributed to AI.

Quotes

“We expect that we will have the capacity to continue to invest and fuel productivity opportunities that arise from AI and from general firm process rewiring.”
c8 · CFO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“It started with productivity and a more narrow component of the firm called engineering. Based on leveraging the firm's relationships with a number of different sort of large language model providers and investing in sort of very high-quality engineering talent, frankly, hiring a bunch of engineers from the outside to complement our already excellent team, we're finding very effective ways to deploy it inside of the firm.”
c15 · CFO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“Quarterly non-compensation expenses increased from the prior year to $5.6 billion, with the increase driven by transaction-based expenses tied to robust activity levels, particularly in equities.”
c23 · CFO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2026-07-14

By quarter

  • Q1 2026described · described, no size · exploratory
  • Q2 2026described · described, no size · exploratory

vendor bill

Model access and AI tool bill

Not sized

Deployment through several large language model providers is stated, with no charge, seat count, volume or term (claim c15); a relationship with no money or term stated sizes nothing, and a channel whose money is not shown to have started is described and left unsized. Any bill would sit inside communications and technology, .

described, no sizedisclosure: described· motive: exploratory· before LLMs: new

The CFO said the firm deploys AI in engineering by leveraging its relationships with a number of large language model providers, none named and no charge given; in Q1 the CEO said the firm has Anthropic’s new model and works closely with Anthropic, also with no charge. Anthropic is private and not on the ledger. Funding is unknown because no payment is shown. Communications and technology rose to .

Evidence: 1 quote, 2 figures, 2 confounds, 1 from before coverage

What the firm pays outside large language model providers for model access and AI tools. In Q1 2026 the CEO said the firm has Anthropic’s new model and works closely with Anthropic and its security vendors; in Q2 2026 the CFO said the firm deploys AI in engineering by leveraging its relationships with several large language model providers, unnamed. Anthropic is private and not on the ledger. No price, charge, seat count, volume or term is stated, and no source shows that any money has started; the bill would sit in communications and technology or professional fees, neither split.

Why this motive

The CFO describes deployment in engineering through relationships with several large language model providers (claim c15), with no charge or measure: exploratory, carried from Q1.

Before LLMs: new

The anchor names no model bill; it says only that the firm may rely on AI models developed by third parties, as a risk (claim gs-anchor-c8). Communications and technology expense was for FY2024. Paying for access to a large language model could not exist without LLMs, so the channel is new whatever the anchor says.

“Further, we may rely on AI models developed by third parties, and, to that extent, would be dependent in part on the manner in which those third parties develop and train their models, including risks arising from the inclusion of any unauthorized material in the training data for their models, and the effectiveness of the steps these third parties have taken to limit the risks associated with the output of their models, matters over which we may have limited visibility.”
Filing, risk factors, 10-K periodic report, 2025-02-27

Figures

  • Communications and technology expense · 2026-CQ2
  • Communications and technology expense growth, year over year · 2026-CQ2

What else could explain it

  • line composition: Any bill sits inside communications and technology or professional fees, neither split by vendor.
  • bundling: One agreement with a provider may cover engineering and other use together, or come inside a cloud or software agreement and never be billed on its own.

Quotes

“It started with productivity and a more narrow component of the firm called engineering. Based on leveraging the firm's relationships with a number of different sort of large language model providers and investing in sort of very high-quality engineering talent, frankly, hiring a bunch of engineers from the outside to complement our already excellent team, we're finding very effective ways to deploy it inside of the firm.”
c15 · CFO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14

By quarter

  • Q1 2026described · described, no size · exploratory
  • Q2 2026described · described, no size · exploratory

Cost displaced by AI2 channels · $122k to $35mn sized · $122k to $35mn incremental · 1 not sized

back office · expensive to verify

Staff work across the firm displaced or avoided by AI (OneGS 3.0 work streams)

Not sized

AI is named beside general firm process rewiring and the OneGS 3.0 program as the source of the productivity, and the headcount decline is credited to the firm’s efforts without a split (claims c8 and c13); nothing separates AI’s part (the methodology rule for AI named beside another cause). The ceiling is compensation and benefits, .

described, no sizedisclosure: described· motive: exploratory· before LLMs: expanded

The CFO said some of the technology is letting people do more and be more productive, that teams may feel less need to replace people who leave in the ordinary course, and that it is not a moment for a structural rework of the workforce. Headcount fell over the quarter to and changed over the year; compensation grew over the year in Q2 against revenue growth of about , per the CFO. The CFO credits the efficiency ratio to scaling without growing headcount as fast and says the expense base has not changed structurally. The channel stays described and unsized.

Evidence: 10 quotes, 10 figures, 3 confounds, 2 from before coverage

Payroll the firm avoids because AI lets its people do more: the new technologies the CEO says were implemented across the initial OneGS 3.0 work streams, and the CFO’s remarks that the technology lets people be more productive so that leavers may not all be replaced. The firm names AI beside general process rewiring and its OneGS 3.0 program, which is an operating-efficiency program of its own and a confound, never credited to AI. The line it would show in is compensation and benefits and headcount. Errors in banking work are costly, so verification is expensive.

Why this motive

The CFO says AI is letting people do more and that teams may not replace all leavers, but calls it a moment to invest and learn, with no structural change in the expense base (claims c11, c12 and c9): no measured result attributed to AI, so exploratory, carried from Q1.

Before LLMs: expanded

At the anchor the firm was already testing and implementing AI use cases aimed at productivity and efficiency (claims gs-anchor-c4 and gs-anchor-c2), inside compensation of for FY2024 and a headcount of . LLM tools put into that work change its cost per unit, not the existence of the line. The size is the change AI made, not the whole line.

“For our own operations, we have a leading team of engineers dedicated to exploring and applying machine learning and artificial intelligence applications. We are focused on enhancing productivity, particularly for our developers, and increasing operating efficiency while maintaining a high bar for quality, security, and controls.”
CEO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2024-04-15
“Double-clicking and getting more narrowly focused on Goldman Sachs, I would just say we see enormous opportunities for productivity gains and also opportunities for efficiency. Our use cases that we're testing and that we're implementing focus on those two areas.”
CEO, qa, earnings call, 2024-04-15

Figures

  • Compensation and benefits · 2026-CQ2
  • Compensation and benefits, prior year · 2025-CQ2
  • Compensation and benefits growth, year over year · 2026-CQ2
  • Headcount at quarter end · as-of 2026-06-30
  • Headcount a year earlier · as-of 2025-06-30
  • Headcount, change over the year · 2026-CQ2
  • Headcount, change over the quarter · 2026-CQ2
  • Compensation expense growth, year over year in Q2, per the CFO · 2026-CQ2
  • Non-compensation expense growth, year over year in Q2, per the CFO · 2026-CQ2
  • Revenue growth, year over year in Q2, per the CFO (about) · 2026-CQ2

What else could explain it

  • transformation program: OneGS 3.0 and general firm process rewiring are named beside AI as sources of the productivity, and the CFO calls the headcount decline an output of the firm’s efforts without separating them (claim c13).
  • seasonality: The CFO says many people join every third quarter, so a second-quarter headcount low is partly timing.
  • operating leverage: Compensation grew slower than revenue in Q2 because revenue rose sharply; the compensation ratio is set on the revenue outlook.

Quotes

“Just as we are helping clients navigate this period of change, we are also implementing learnings within our own firm. There has been much debate around the broader implications of AI on the workforce. It will change how work gets done, it will not replace what matters most in driving our business, our extraordinary people.”
c5 · CEO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“We expect that we will have the capacity to continue to invest and fuel productivity opportunities that arise from AI and from general firm process rewiring.”
c8 · CFO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“That's been a learning that I think is one of the big pieces of the driver to our efficiency ratio. I would not say that there's been any structural change in our expense base at this point.”
c9 · CFO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“I think what's interesting and exciting, and I would dovetail with David's comment on the power of AI, some of the technology's letting our people do more and be more productive, and that's the way we're thinking about investing.”
c11 · CFO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“As they become more productive, they may feel less need to replace people that in the ordinary course flow through the system. Right now, it's not a moment for a structural rework of our human capital footprint.”
c12 · CFO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“I think those numbers are an output of the efforts that we're undertaking, and it's not the result of some specific target.”
c13 · CFO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“I frankly think it's still early. There are some of the easiest places to generate benefits are what I would refer to as table stakes.”
c16 · CFO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“As of June 2026, headcount was essentially unchanged compared with June 2025 and decreased 2% compared with March 2026.”
c21 · Filing, mdna, 10-Q periodic report, 2026-08-03
“We see AI as a transformational technology that expands the capabilities of our best-in-class talent.”
c25 · CEO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“Comp expense is only growing at 30% and non-comp at 22%.”
c27 · CFO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14

By quarter

  • Q1 2026described · described, no size · exploratory
  • Q2 2026described · described, no size · exploratory

engineering · cheap to verify

Engineering work saved by large language model tools

0% to 0.17% of the quarter’s revenue

Incremental total: counts in full.

our inferencedisclosure: described· motive: exploratory· before LLMs: expanded

The CFO said the firm’s use of AI started with productivity in engineering, drawing on several large language model providers and engineers hired from outside, and that it is finding very effective ways to deploy it; he gave no count, rate or saving. The size shown is the ledger’s own estimate, , a decomposition of expensed compensation in which every multiplier is a judgment, including the share of the gain taken as lower cost, set low because the CFO says the expense base has not changed structurally.

Evidence: 2 quotes, 2 figures, 2 confounds, 1 from before coverage

Engineering time saved because the firm deploys tools from several large language model providers in engineering, where the CFO says productivity use started. The line it would show in is compensation and benefits (the firm’s engineers); engineering labour the firm capitalizes as internal-use software is outside that line, and any saving on it is not sized. Code with tests can be checked quickly, so verification is cheap.

Why this motive

The CFO says AI use started with productivity in engineering and the firm is finding very effective ways to deploy it, and calls it still early (claims c15 and c16), with no measure and no line shown to move: exploratory.

Before LLMs: expanded

At the anchor the firm was already applying machine learning and AI with a focus on developer productivity (claim gs-anchor-c2), inside compensation of for FY2024. The engineering work existed; LLM tools change its cost per unit. The size is the change AI made, not the whole line.

“For our own operations, we have a leading team of engineers dedicated to exploring and applying machine learning and artificial intelligence applications. We are focused on enhancing productivity, particularly for our developers, and increasing operating efficiency while maintaining a high bar for quality, security, and controls.”
CEO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2024-04-15

Figures

  • Compensation and benefits · 2026-CQ2
  • Compensation and benefits growth, year over year · 2026-CQ2

What else could explain it

  • line composition: Compensation is dominated by revenue-linked discretionary pay outside engineering.
  • other: Engineering labour the firm capitalizes as internal-use software is outside expensed compensation, so any saving on it is outside the estimate and unsized; the CFO says the expense base has not changed structurally (claim c9).

Quotes

“It started with productivity and a more narrow component of the firm called engineering. Based on leveraging the firm's relationships with a number of different sort of large language model providers and investing in sort of very high-quality engineering talent, frankly, hiring a bunch of engineers from the outside to complement our already excellent team, we're finding very effective ways to deploy it inside of the firm.”
c15 · CFO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“I frankly think it's still early. There are some of the easiest places to generate benefits are what I would refer to as table stakes.”
c16 · CFO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14

Revenue arriving through AI2 channels · 2 not sized

product revenue

Advisory, underwriting and markets activity from AI themes and the AI buildout

Not sized

The CEO names the AI investment cycle together with scale-driven M&A, regulation, refinancing and market dispersion, and declines to size its contribution when asked (claim c18); nothing separates AI’s part (the methodology rule for AI named beside another cause). The ceilings are Global Banking & Markets net revenues, , and investment banking fees, .

described, no sizedisclosure: described· motive: exploratory· before LLMs: relabelled

The CEO said the AI investment cycle is creating significant opportunities in structuring, financing, risk management and capital markets execution, that companies integrating AI raise demand for advice, that Asian equities activity was driven in part by AI capital formation, and that leveraged finance is partly around the AI infrastructure build; asked how much AI contributes, he declined to give an answer. Global Banking & Markets net revenues rose to and investment banking fees . The clients’ money is mixed: hyperscaler and corporate cash flow, debt and investor capital; any part that is the buildout is its money passing through an intermediary.

Evidence: 11 quotes, 6 figures, 2 confounds, 2 from before coverage

Global Banking & Markets revenue from client activity the firm ties to AI: AI-related capital investment and AI-driven disruption named among the forces behind activity and volatility, companies integrating AI and building AI infrastructure as a source of demand for advice and execution, AI capital formation behind equities activity in Asia, and leveraged finance partly around the AI infrastructure build. Advising, underwriting and trading predate LLMs; any of it that is the buildout is the buildout’s money moving through an intermediary, not absorption by the clients.

Why this motive

The CEO says the AI investment cycle is contributing to earnings momentum and declines to say how much (claims c7 and c18); AI is named beside scale-driven M&A, refinancing and regulation with no measure: exploratory, carried from Q1.

Before LLMs: relabelled

On the anchor call the CEO already said the infrastructure, power and financing these technologies need was creating activity in Investment Banking and Markets (claims gs-anchor-c3 and gs-anchor-c1); Global Banking & Markets earned in FY2024, of which investment banking fees were . Management gives no measure of the AI part, so the tie-break reads it as existing activity described with AI named.

“As we look longer-term, to the extent that this technology develops in line with expectations, there will be significant demand for AI-related infrastructure and, as a result, financing, which will be a tailwind to our business.”
CEO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2024-04-15
“That is creating an ecosystem of activity in our Investment Banking and Markets business that we've seen in the context of other areas of significant shift or macro expansion over a long period of time.”
CEO, qa, earnings call, 2024-04-15

Figures

  • Global Banking & Markets net revenues · 2026-CQ2
  • Global Banking & Markets net revenues, prior year · 2025-CQ2
  • Global Banking & Markets net revenues growth, year over year · 2026-CQ2
  • Investment banking fees · 2026-CQ2
  • Investment banking fees, prior year · 2025-CQ2
  • Investment banking fees growth, year over year · 2026-CQ2

What else could explain it

  • other: Scale-driven strategic M&A, a more permissive regulatory environment, recapitalizations and refinancing, single-stock dispersion and the Middle East conflict are named beside AI as causes of the same activity, with no split.
  • mix shift: The 10-Q credits investment banking fees to equity offerings and to leveraged finance and asset-backed underwriting, and equities to derivatives, cash products and prime financing, without naming AI.

Quotes

“At the same time, the AI investment cycle is expanding capital needs beyond core technology into infrastructure, energy and data centers, generating a ripple effect across industries. This is creating significant opportunities for Goldman Sachs to provide structuring, financing, risk management, and capital markets execution across both public and private markets.”
c1 · CEO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“Beyond the infrastructure buildout, companies large and small are working to integrate AI into their operations, increasing demand for advice and execution capabilities as they adapt to a rapidly evolving competitive landscape.”
c2 · CEO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“Client activity was particularly strong in Asia, driven in part by robust AI capital formation and investment.”
c3 · CEO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“The build-out of AI infrastructure remains in its early stages. We believe this multi-year investment cycle will continue to drive elevated levels of strategic activity, financing, and capital formation across markets.”
c4 · CEO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“We're excited about it. We see lots of opportunities. Those opportunities are very correlated to Goldman Sachs. That cycle is contributing to our earnings momentum, but also just highlights the breadth, depth and diversity of the firm, its franchise, the scale of our management fees across the firm of our more durable revenues.”
c7 · CEO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“The leveraged finance activity to some degree is around some of the AI infrastructure build, and it's also around recapitalization and refinancing because one of the ways that the sponsor clients can advance or get capital out of businesses is to recap them, and we're seeing a little bit more of that.”
c14 · CEO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“The investment cycle is, of course, and we said this, it was one of the things I said in my remarks, the investment cycle is having an impact on the environment and therefore our earnings.”
c17 · CEO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“I think the frame I reframe it to you is I'm not sure that I can do that in a way where I give you a good answer.”
c18 · CEO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“During the second quarter of 2026, the operating environment was generally characterized by resilient economic activity, particularly in the U.S., geopolitical concerns, a focus on investments related to artificial intelligence (AI) and uncertainty in the outlook for inflation and international trade policies (including tariffs).”
c19 · Filing, mdna, 10-Q periodic report, 2026-08-03
“Investment banking fees were $3.40 billion, 55% higher than the second quarter of 2025, primarily due to significantly higher net revenues in Equity underwriting, primarily reflecting significantly higher net revenues from secondary and initial public offerings, and in Debt underwriting, primarily reflecting significantly higher net revenues from leveraged finance and asset-backed activity.”
c22 · Filing, mdna, 10-Q periodic report, 2026-08-03
“There's a lot of talk about token spend and the cost of the technology. I think we're early in the cycle to build out, but it won't be without bumps and recalibrations as people can understand just what the ultimate demand is for this technology and enterprises.”
c26 · CEO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14

By quarter

  • Q1 2026described · described, no size · exploratory
  • Q2 2026described · described, no size · exploratory

product revenue

Lending and financing for the AI infrastructure buildout

Not sized

Management ties financing demand to the AI capital spending cycle but gives no amount, share or count of AI-related loans or financing, and the 10-Q credits financing revenue to prime financing, mortgages and structured lending (the methodology rule for AI named beside another cause). The ceiling is FICC and Equities financing net revenues, .

described, no sizedisclosure: described· motive: exploratory· before LLMs: relabelled

This quarter management itself tied the firm’s financing to AI: the CEO sees many opportunities to deploy capital financing the infrastructure build-out, and the CFO said the AI capital spending super cycle puts demands on every financing instrument. FICC and Equities financing net revenues rose to , which the 10-Q credits to prime financing, mortgages and structured lending. The borrowers’ money is mixed: hyperscaler and developer cash flow, debt and investor capital; any part that finances the buildout is the buildout’s money moving.

Evidence: 6 quotes, 7 figures, 2 confounds, 2 from before coverage

Revenue from capital the firm deploys to finance clients’ AI infrastructure: the CEO says the firm sees many opportunities to deploy capital to finance the build-out, and the CFO says the AI capital spending super cycle places demands on every financing instrument. Management itself ties the financing to AI, which is what makes this a channel; it gives no amount, share or count. The revenue sits in FICC financing, Equities financing and net interest income, none split by purpose.

Why this motive

The CEO and CFO tie financing demand to the AI build-out (claims c6 and c10) with no amount, share or count: exploratory.

Before LLMs: relabelled

On the anchor call the CEO already expected demand for AI-related infrastructure and the financing it needs to be a tailwind (claims gs-anchor-c1 and gs-anchor-c3); FICC financing earned and Equities financing in FY2024. No measure of the AI part is given, so the tie-break reads it as existing financing activity described with AI named.

“As we look longer-term, to the extent that this technology develops in line with expectations, there will be significant demand for AI-related infrastructure and, as a result, financing, which will be a tailwind to our business.”
CEO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2024-04-15
“That is creating an ecosystem of activity in our Investment Banking and Markets business that we've seen in the context of other areas of significant shift or macro expansion over a long period of time.”
CEO, qa, earnings call, 2024-04-15

Figures

  • FICC financing net revenues · 2026-CQ2
  • Equities financing net revenues · 2026-CQ2
  • FICC and Equities financing net revenues · 2026-CQ2
  • FICC financing net revenues, prior year · 2025-CQ2
  • Equities financing net revenues, prior year · 2025-CQ2
  • FICC and Equities financing net revenues, prior year · 2025-CQ2
  • FICC and Equities financing net revenues growth, year over year · 2026-CQ2

What else could explain it

  • other: Prime financing for hedge funds in Asia, mortgages and structured lending are named in the 10-Q as drivers of financing revenue without naming AI; the CFO names demand across every industry and region.
  • line composition: FICC and Equities financing hold all secured financing and prime brokerage, of which AI infrastructure is an unstated part.

Quotes

“At the same time, the AI investment cycle is expanding capital needs beyond core technology into infrastructure, energy and data centers, generating a ripple effect across industries. This is creating significant opportunities for Goldman Sachs to provide structuring, financing, risk management, and capital markets execution across both public and private markets.”
c1 · CEO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“The build-out of AI infrastructure remains in its early stages. We believe this multi-year investment cycle will continue to drive elevated levels of strategic activity, financing, and capital formation across markets.”
c4 · CEO, prepared remarks, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“We see lots of opportunities to deploy capital to our clients to finance this infrastructure build-out. We're very disciplined about the returns we expect for deploying that capital.”
c6 · CEO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“We're excited about it. We see lots of opportunities. Those opportunities are very correlated to Goldman Sachs. That cycle is contributing to our earnings momentum, but also just highlights the breadth, depth and diversity of the firm, its franchise, the scale of our management fees across the firm of our more durable revenues.”
c7 · CEO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“We are in the middle of an AI CapEx super cycle where there are demands on financing into every single financing instrument, in every region of the world and across every single industry.”
c10 · CFO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14
“There's a lot of talk about token spend and the cost of the technology. I think we're early in the cycle to build out, but it won't be without bumps and recalibrations as people can understand just what the ultimate demand is for this technology and enterprises.”
c26 · CEO, qa, earnings call, 2026-07-14

Cost imposed, or revenue lost, by others’ AI1 channel · 1 not sized

other

Cyber defense against AI-enabled attacks

Not sized

No source this quarter mentions AI-enabled attacks or the cost of defending against them in its own words: the call is silent, and the 10-Q sentence on AI-enabled fraud and ransomware is carried word for word from the FY2024 annual report, which is not a mention in the quarter.

inscrutabledisclosure: not mentioned· motive: imposed· before LLMs: relabelled

Cyber risk from AI did not come up on the call, and the release adds nothing on it. The 10-Q repeats the FY2024 annual report’s sentence that resources were added in response to AI-enabled fraud and ransomware attacks; under the rule for filing sentences carried from the anchor it does not move the reading off not-mentioned. In Q1 the channel was described and unsized, since the CEO named AI beside an ongoing cyber program with no amount.

Evidence: 0 quotes, 2 from before coverage

Security spending the firm carries because attackers use AI: the CEO says the firm is accelerating its investment in cyber and infrastructure resilience as the models make rapid progress, and the 10-Qs say resources were added in response to AI-enabled fraud and ransomware. The cost sits in communications and technology and compensation and is not split.

Why this motive

Carried from Q1: a toll the firm did not choose.

Before LLMs: relabelled

The FY2024 annual report already said attackers using AI may make attacks more frequent and severe and that resources had been added in response to AI-enabled fraud and ransomware, in the same words the 10-Qs repeat (claims gs-anchor-c5 and gs-anchor-c6); communications and technology expense was for FY2024. No line is shown to move because of AI, so the tie-break reads it as the existing cyber budget described with AI named.

“For example, in response to the proliferation of AI-enabled fraud and ransomware attacks that continue to be reported globally, we have emphasized phishing and cybersecurity training for our employees and allocated additional resources for business continuity.”
Filing, mdna, 10-K periodic report, 2025-02-27
“Further, the use of AI by cybercriminals may increase the frequency and severity of cybersecurity attacks against us or our third-party vendors and clients.”
Filing, risk factors, 10-K periodic report, 2025-02-27

By quarter

  • Q1 2026described · described, no size · imposed
  • Q2 2026not mentioned · inscrutable · imposed

Reported lines, year-over-year growth

Revenue +39.5%

Q2 2026. Growing slower than revenue: total operating expenses (+26.3%), compensation and benefits (+30.3%), communications and technology (+19.8%). A displaced cost shows up as a line that stays under the dashed revenue line. These are the audited lines, as first reported; nothing here is attributed to AI by the filing.

Total operating expensesCompensation and benefitsCommunications and technologyRevenue
-10%0%10%20%30%40%Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026RevenueCompensation and benefitsTotal operating expensesCommunications and technology
Reported values and filings
LineQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Net revenues$15.06bn$14.58bn$15.18bn$13.45bn$17.23bn$20.34bn
Total operating expenses$9.13bn$9.24bn$9.45bn$9.72bn$10.43bn$11.67bn
Compensation and benefits$4.88bn$4.68bn$4.68bn$4.67bn$5.41bn$6.10bn
Communications and technology$506mn$530mn$545mn$589mn$583mn$635mn