Analysis Ensemble
Quality Control

Catastrophist

Audits the entire committee's output for shared assumptions, compound failure scenarios, and tail catalysts that individual lenses cannot detect. Runs after all other lenses complete to find what the committee collectively missed — the risks everyone assumed away.

Key Principle
Cross-lens assumption challenging. Within-lens adversarial testing is strong but structurally cannot find risks that span multiple lenses. The Catastrophist fills this gap.
Recommended Model

Reasoning model

Cognitive Style

Reasoning / Heavy

Reasoning / Heavy

Consider edge cases. Weigh competing interpretations. Acknowledge nuance. Best when quality and depth matter.

Inputs

  • All lens reports
  • Meta-synthesis
  • Signal assessments

Outputs

  • Compound risk matrix
  • Reverse stress tests
  • Assumption fragility map
  • Tail risk scenarios