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AAL Forecast Markets
American Airlines Group Inc.
7
Active Markets
49%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will AAL achieve FY2026 adjusted EPS at or above $1.70 (low end of guidance)?
52%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will AAL reduce total debt below $35B by year-end 2026?
50%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will AAL report Q1 2026 total revenue growth at or above 7% YoY (low end of guidance)?
60%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Apr 30, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will government travel revenue at DCA recover to within 25% of pre-shutdown levels by Q2 2026?
35%
Likely No
92% agreement
Jul 31, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will AAL generate free cash flow above $2B in FY2026?
48%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will AAL's premium revenue share remain above 50% of total revenue through H1 2026?
68%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Jul 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will any major credit rating agency upgrade AAL to BB-flat or higher by year-end 2026?
27%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Apr 30, 2026
Will AAL report Q1 2026 total revenue growth at or above 7% YoY (low end of guidance)?Prediction: 60%
Jul 31, 2026
Will government travel revenue at DCA recover to within 25% of pre-shutdown levels by Q2 2026?Prediction: 35%
Jul 31, 2026
Will AAL's premium revenue share remain above 50% of total revenue through H1 2026?Prediction: 68%
Jan 15, 2027
Will any major credit rating agency upgrade AAL to BB-flat or higher by year-end 2026?Prediction: 27%
Jan 31, 2027
Will AAL achieve FY2026 adjusted EPS at or above $1.70 (low end of guidance)?Prediction: 52%