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AAOI Forecast Markets
Applied Optoelectronics
8
Active Markets
43%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will AAOI's 800G transceiver revenue exceed $25M in Q2 2026?
35%
Likely No
92% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will AAOI's FY2026 revenue exceed $1 billion?
28%
Likely No
92% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will AAOI report a third data center customer exceeding 10% of revenue by H1 2026?
10%
Likely No
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will AAOI's Q1 2026 revenue exceed $165M (above guidance range)?
32%
Likely No
92% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will AAOI achieve non-GAAP net profitability in Q2 2026?
50%
Likely No
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will AAOI complete 800G firmware qualification by April 30, 2026?
63%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
May 31, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will AAOI conduct additional equity offerings (ATM or otherwise) in H1 2026?
75%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jul 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will AAOI's inventory-to-quarterly-revenue ratio exceed 130% by Q2 2026?
50%
Likely No
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Jul 31, 2026
Will AAOI conduct additional equity offerings (ATM or otherwise) in H1 2026?Prediction: 75%
Aug 15, 2026
Will AAOI report a third data center customer exceeding 10% of revenue by H1 2026?Prediction: 10%