Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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ACHR Forecast Markets
Archer Aviation Inc.
7
Active Markets
42%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Archer Aviation begin its first FAA Type Inspection Authorization (TIA) campaign by December 31, 2026?
57%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Archer Aviation's Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA loss exceed $180M?
33%
Likely No
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Archer Aviation receive a GCAA restricted type certificate for UAE operations by December 31, 2026?
37%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Archer Aviation be selected as a finalist in the White House eVTOL Integration Pilot Program (eIPP) by June 30, 2026?
57%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Joby Aviation file a patent countersuit or ITC complaint against Archer Aviation by December 31, 2026?
53%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Archer Aviation announce a major U.S. defense contract award (value >$50M) by December 31, 2026?
23%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Archer Aviation conduct another equity raise (>$100M) by December 31, 2026?
33%
Likely No
92% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Jan 31, 2027
Will Archer Aviation begin its first FAA Type Inspection Authorization (TIA) campaign by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 57%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Archer Aviation receive a GCAA restricted type certificate for UAE operations by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 37%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Joby Aviation file a patent countersuit or ITC complaint against Archer Aviation by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 53%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Archer Aviation announce a major U.S. defense contract award (value >$50M) by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 23%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Archer Aviation conduct another equity raise (>$100M) by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 33%