Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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ALB Forecast Markets
Albemarle Corporation
7
Active Markets
51%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will average lithium carbonate (LCE) spot price remain above $20/kg through H2 2026?
43%
Likely No
96% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Albemarle announce a Kemerton Train 1 restart or permanent closure by year-end 2026?
31%
Likely No
94% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Chinese lithium supply additions exceed 100K tons LCE in 2026?
52%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Albemarle report positive free cash flow for FY2026?
66%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will CEO Kent Masters conduct additional open market stock sales exceeding $1M by year-end 2026?
52%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Albemarle receive key federal or state permitting approval for Kings Mountain mine by year-end 2026?
35%
Likely No
96% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Albemarle complete the Ketjen divestiture by Q2 2026 at or above $600M combined proceeds?
76%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jun 30, 2026
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
Jun 30, 2026
Will Albemarle complete the Ketjen divestiture by Q2 2026 at or above $600M combined proceeds?Prediction: 76%
Dec 31, 2026
Will Albemarle announce a Kemerton Train 1 restart or permanent closure by year-end 2026?Prediction: 31%
Dec 31, 2026
Will Albemarle receive key federal or state permitting approval for Kings Mountain mine by year-end 2026?Prediction: 35%
Jan 15, 2027
Will average lithium carbonate (LCE) spot price remain above $20/kg through H2 2026?Prediction: 43%
Jan 31, 2027
Will CEO Kent Masters conduct additional open market stock sales exceeding $1M by year-end 2026?Prediction: 52%