RuncheyResearch

Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive

Back to Forecasting

AMKR Forecast Markets

Amkor Technology, Inc.

8
Active Markets
2
Resolved
48%
Avg Probability
Price at Value
Apr 28, 2026

Our prediction ensemble suggests price is consistent with fundamentals.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

10 markets

Will Amkor receive over $500M in CHIPS Act incentives by year-end 2026?

Active
25%
Likely No
93% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will Amkor's gross margin exceed 15% in either Q3 or Q4 2026?

Active
72%
Likely Yes
95% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will Amkor's Computing segment revenue grow above 20% YoY in FY2026?

Active
57%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.60

Will Amkor's Communications segment revenue decline YoY in FY2026?

Active
26%
Likely No
93% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.60

Will Amkor's debt-to-EBITDA ratio exceed 2.0x by year-end 2026?

Active
47%
Likely No
88% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will Amkor confirm Arizona Phase 1 remains on track for mid-2027 completion by Q2 2026?

Active
70%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will Amkor beat Q2 2026 EPS guidance midpoint of $0.47?

Active
61%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will Amkor repurchase more than $150M of its $300M buyback authorization in 2026?

Active
45%
Likely No
93% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will Amkor's gross margin exceed 14% in any quarter of H1 2026?

Resolved
22%
Likely No
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.608
Apr 29, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will Amkor beat Q1 2026 EPS guidance midpoint of $0.23?

Resolved
56%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.194
Apr 29, 2026
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

May 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will Amkor beat Q1 2026 EPS guidance midpoint of $0.23?
YESBrier: 0.19
Aug 15, 2026
Will Amkor confirm Arizona Phase 1 remains on track for mid-2027 completion by Q2 2026?
Prediction: 70%
Aug 15, 2026
Will Amkor beat Q2 2026 EPS guidance midpoint of $0.47?
Prediction: 61%
Aug 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will Amkor's gross margin exceed 14% in any quarter of H1 2026?
YESBrier: 0.61
Feb 28, 2027
Will Amkor's gross margin exceed 15% in either Q3 or Q4 2026?
Prediction: 72%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Amkor's Computing segment revenue grow above 20% YoY in FY2026?
Prediction: 57%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Amkor's Communications segment revenue decline YoY in FY2026?
Prediction: 26%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Amkor repurchase more than $150M of its $300M buyback authorization in 2026?
Prediction: 45%
Mar 31, 2027
Will Amkor receive over $500M in CHIPS Act incentives by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 25%
Mar 31, 2027
Will Amkor's debt-to-EBITDA ratio exceed 2.0x by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 47%