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APA Forecast Markets
APA Corporation
7
Active Markets
65%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will APA's net debt fall below $3.5B by year-end 2026?
58%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will APA's oil and gas trading portfolio generate above $500M pretax income in 2026?
88%
Likely Yes
77%88%after Q1 2026 supplemental 8-K disclosed $244M net trading gain (pre-tax) — ~49% of the $500M annual threshold in a single quarter
97% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will APA report positive results from the Shallow Delaware Bone Spring 4-well spacing test by year-end 2026?
62%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will APA's Egypt gross gas production reach 540 MMcf/d by Q4 2026?
58%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will APA's Permian Midland Basin D&C cost remain below $600/ft through FY 2026?
72%
Likely Yes
95% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will APA achieve its $450M annual cost reduction run rate by YE 2026?
65%
Likely Yes
95% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will APA confirm GranMorgu FPSO fabrication remains on schedule for mid-2028 first oil by year-end 2026?
55%
Likely Yes
95% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Jan 31, 2027
Will APA report positive results from the Shallow Delaware Bone Spring 4-well spacing test by year-end 2026?Prediction: 62%
Jan 31, 2027
Will APA confirm GranMorgu FPSO fabrication remains on schedule for mid-2028 first oil by year-end 2026?Prediction: 55%
Mar 15, 2027
Will APA's Permian Midland Basin D&C cost remain below $600/ft through FY 2026?Prediction: 72%
Mar 31, 2027
Will APA's oil and gas trading portfolio generate above $500M pretax income in 2026?Prediction: 88%