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AVAV Forecast Markets

AeroVironment, Inc.

7
Active Markets
42%
Avg Probability
Price Above Value
Mar 18, 2026

Our prediction ensemble identifies elevated risk at current levels.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

7 markets

Will AVAV achieve adjusted gross margin above 37% in Q4 FY2026?

Active
33%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jun 30, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will AVAV achieve FY2026 adjusted EBITDA within guidance range of $300M-$320M?

Active
40%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jun 30, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will AVAV's funded backlog exceed $1.3B by Q4 FY2026?

Active
48%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jun 30, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will AVAV's SCDE segment operating margin exceed 10% in Q4 FY2026?

Active
35%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jun 30, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will AVAV report GAAP net income (positive) for any quarter in H2 FY2026?

Active
22%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jun 30, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will AVAV announce Switchblade orders from 12 or more countries by end of CY2026?

Active
58%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will AVAV's Salt Lake City Switchblade facility be operational by end of CY2026?

Active
55%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.36

Resolution Timeline

Jun 30, 2026
Will AVAV achieve adjusted gross margin above 37% in Q4 FY2026?
Prediction: 33%
Jun 30, 2026
Will AVAV achieve FY2026 adjusted EBITDA within guidance range of $300M-$320M?
Prediction: 40%
Jun 30, 2026
Will AVAV's funded backlog exceed $1.3B by Q4 FY2026?
Prediction: 48%
Jun 30, 2026
Will AVAV's SCDE segment operating margin exceed 10% in Q4 FY2026?
Prediction: 35%
Jun 30, 2026
Will AVAV report GAAP net income (positive) for any quarter in H2 FY2026?
Prediction: 22%
Jan 31, 2027
Will AVAV announce Switchblade orders from 12 or more countries by end of CY2026?
Prediction: 58%
Jan 31, 2027
Will AVAV's Salt Lake City Switchblade facility be operational by end of CY2026?
Prediction: 55%