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BLDR Forecast Markets
Builders FirstSource
7
Active Markets
46%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will US single-family housing starts exceed 1.0M annualized rate by Q4 2026?
25%
Likely No
92% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will BLDR's FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA exceed the midpoint of guidance ($1.5B)?
43%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will QXO complete an acquisition of a top-50 US building products distributor by end of 2026?
39%
Likely No
93% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will BLDR's Q1 2026 net sales exceed the midpoint of Q1 guidance ($3.15B)?
42%
Likely No
93% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will BLDR's Q2 2026 gross margin remain at or above 28.5%?
73%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will BLDR's Net Debt/Adjusted EBITDA remain below 3.5x through FY2026?
82%
Likely Yes
95% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will BLDR disclose material SAP implementation delays or disruptions by Q3 2026?
18%
Likely No
94% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
May 15, 2026
Will BLDR's Q1 2026 net sales exceed the midpoint of Q1 guidance ($3.15B)?Prediction: 42%
Nov 15, 2026
Will BLDR disclose material SAP implementation delays or disruptions by Q3 2026?Prediction: 18%
Jan 15, 2027
Will QXO complete an acquisition of a top-50 US building products distributor by end of 2026?Prediction: 39%
Jan 31, 2027
Will US single-family housing starts exceed 1.0M annualized rate by Q4 2026?Prediction: 25%
Mar 15, 2027
Will BLDR's FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA exceed the midpoint of guidance ($1.5B)?Prediction: 43%