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CAR Forecast Markets
Avis Budget Group
7
Active Markets
1
Resolved
35%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will CAR report a clean Q1 2026 earnings print (Adjusted EBITDA at or above consensus with no new charge above $50M)?
33%
Likely No
92% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 1.00
Will the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index post a >3% sequential monthly decline in any month from April through July 2026?
45%
Likely No
89% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will CAR's FY2025 DEF 14A proxy filing confirm a BHJH affiliate linkage to former CEO Pahwa OR disclose 2026-2029 LTIP PSU metrics anchored to FY2025 depressed baseline?
66%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Jul 31, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will any 2026 Avis Budget Rental Car Funding ABS new-issue tranche price more than 150bp wider than the comparable 2025 tranche?
26%
Likely No
92% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will CAR's Americas segment Revenue Per Day (RPD) decline 5% or more YoY in BOTH Q1 2026 AND Q2 2026?
25%
Likely No
93% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will CAR file an 8-K disclosing a covenant waiver or material amendment to its corporate credit facilities or vehicle ABS facilities by December 31, 2026?
14%
Likely No
95% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will CAR report unrestricted corporate cash below $800M at any quarter-end through Q3 2026?
42%
Likely No
92% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Pentwater Capital file a Schedule 13D (rather than 13G) on its CAR position by July 31, 2026?
25%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.063Apr 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Resolution Timeline
Jul 31, 2026RESOLVED
Will Pentwater Capital file a Schedule 13D (rather than 13G) on its CAR position by July 31, 2026? NOBrier: 0.06
Aug 15, 2026
Will CAR's Americas segment Revenue Per Day (RPD) decline 5% or more YoY in BOTH Q1 2026 AND Q2 2026?Prediction: 25%
Nov 15, 2026
Will CAR report unrestricted corporate cash below $800M at any quarter-end through Q3 2026?Prediction: 42%