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DIS Forecast Markets
The Walt Disney Company
8
Active Markets
46%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will Disney disclose ESPN DTC (Unlimited) reaching 5 million or more subscribers by the FY2026 10-K filing?
33%
Likely No
92% agreement
Dec 15, 2026
IG: 1.00
Will Disney's DTC/streaming segment generate $2 billion or more in operating income for full-year FY2026?
60%
Likely Yes
85% agreement
Dec 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Disney report positive (>0%) domestic parks attendance growth in Q2 FY2026 (January-March 2026), the first full quarter after Epic Universe's opening?
58%
Likely Yes
93% agreement
May 31, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Disney execute $8 billion or more in total shareholder returns (dividends + buybacks) in FY2026?
84%
Likely Yes
93% agreement
Dec 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Disney's combined linear TV revenue decline by more than 15% YoY in any quarter of FY2026?
20%
Likely No
92% agreement
Dec 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will the Fubo/vMVPD business contribute operating losses exceeding $200 million in H1 FY2026 (October 2025 - March 2026)?
60%
Likely Yes
83% agreement
May 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Disney's net debt remain below $40 billion at the end of FY2026 (September 2026)?
30%
Likely No
92% agreement
Dec 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Disney record any goodwill impairment charge in FY2026?
20%
Likely No
92% agreement
Dec 15, 2026
IG: 0.40
Resolution Timeline
Dec 15, 2026
Will Disney disclose ESPN DTC (Unlimited) reaching 5 million or more subscribers by the FY2026 10-K filing?Prediction: 33%
Dec 15, 2026
Will Disney's DTC/streaming segment generate $2 billion or more in operating income for full-year FY2026?Prediction: 60%
Dec 15, 2026
Will Disney execute $8 billion or more in total shareholder returns (dividends + buybacks) in FY2026?Prediction: 84%
Dec 15, 2026
Will Disney's combined linear TV revenue decline by more than 15% YoY in any quarter of FY2026?Prediction: 20%
Dec 15, 2026
Will Disney's net debt remain below $40 billion at the end of FY2026 (September 2026)?Prediction: 30%