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DUOL Forecast Markets
Duolingo, Inc.
7
Active Markets
31%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Duolingo's DAU YoY growth rate exceed 25% in any quarter of H2 2026?
23%
Likely No
92% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Duolingo announce a full rollout of Video Call to the Super tier by Q2 2026 earnings?
38%
Likely No
92% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Duolingo's FY2026 bookings growth exceed the top end of guidance (12%)?
44%
Likely No
90% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will any AI-native language learning app reach 5M DAUs by end of 2026?
8%
Likely No
96% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will Duolingo's Q2 2026 bookings growth exceed 12% YoY?
36%
Likely No
94% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Duolingo's FY2026 adjusted EBITDA margin fall below 24%?
20%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.36
Will Duolingo insiders make additional open-market purchases totaling $250K+ in H1 2026?
45%
Likely No
90% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
Aug 15, 2026
Will Duolingo insiders make additional open-market purchases totaling $250K+ in H1 2026?Prediction: 45%
Sep 15, 2026
Will Duolingo announce a full rollout of Video Call to the Super tier by Q2 2026 earnings?Prediction: 38%
Mar 15, 2027
Will Duolingo's DAU YoY growth rate exceed 25% in any quarter of H2 2026?Prediction: 23%
Mar 15, 2027
Will Duolingo's FY2026 bookings growth exceed the top end of guidance (12%)?Prediction: 44%