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EL Forecast Markets
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc.
8
Active Markets
44%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will EL guide FY2027 EPS above $3.00 at the August 2026 long-range plan update?
37%
Likely No
94% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 1.00
Will EL's H2 FY2026 organic net sales growth fall below 1%?
26%
Likely No
92% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will EL report continued China prestige beauty market share gains in Q3 and Q4 FY2026?
52%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will EL's makeup category achieve positive operating margin in FY2026?
40%
Likely No
94% agreement
Sep 30, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will EL report M.A.C US Sephora sell-through as exceeding internal expectations by Q4 FY2026?
55%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will EL's effective tax rate fall below 36% for FY2026?
40%
Likely No
94% agreement
Sep 30, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will EL disclose additional tariff headwinds beyond the initial $100M estimate before end of FY2026?
52%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will EL report positive travel retail growth in Asia by Q4 FY2026?
50%
Likely No
94% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Aug 31, 2026
Will EL report continued China prestige beauty market share gains in Q3 and Q4 FY2026?Prediction: 52%
Aug 31, 2026
Will EL report M.A.C US Sephora sell-through as exceeding internal expectations by Q4 FY2026?Prediction: 55%
Aug 31, 2026
Will EL disclose additional tariff headwinds beyond the initial $100M estimate before end of FY2026?Prediction: 52%
Sep 15, 2026
Will EL guide FY2027 EPS above $3.00 at the August 2026 long-range plan update?Prediction: 37%