Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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F Forecast Markets
Ford Motor Company
7
Active Markets
47%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Ford achieve FY2026 adjusted EBIT at or above $8B (low end of guidance)?
52%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will USMCA-related tariff changes cost Ford more than $500M incremental in 2026?
45%
Likely No
92% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Ford's Model e segment losses be below $4B in FY2026?
40%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Ford beat consensus adjusted EPS estimates for Q1 2026?
50%
Likely No
94% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Ford Energy generate more than $100M in revenue in FY2026?
30%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Ford Pro reach 1 million paid software subscribers by year-end 2026?
68%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.36
Will Ford's total warranty costs decline year-over-year in FY2026?
45%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
Feb 15, 2027
Will Ford achieve FY2026 adjusted EBIT at or above $8B (low end of guidance)?Prediction: 52%
Feb 15, 2027
Will USMCA-related tariff changes cost Ford more than $500M incremental in 2026?Prediction: 45%
Feb 15, 2027
Will Ford Pro reach 1 million paid software subscribers by year-end 2026?Prediction: 68%