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FLNC Forecast Markets

Fluence Energy, Inc.

6
Active Markets
1
Resolved
46%
Avg Probability
Price at Value
Mar 20, 2026

Our prediction ensemble suggests price is consistent with fundamentals.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

7 markets

Will FLNC's Q2 FY2026 adjusted gross margin reach 10% or above?

Active
65%
Likely Yes
91% agreement
Jun 30, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will FLNC announce a data center BESS project entering backlog by Q4 FY2026?

Active
50%
Likely No
90% agreement
Dec 15, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will FLNC's cash position fall below $300M by end of Q2 FY2026?

Active
27%
Likely No
92% agreement
Jun 30, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will FLNC achieve at least $3.2B in FY2026 revenue (bottom of guidance)?

Active
58%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will FLNC achieve positive adjusted EBITDA for full-year FY2026?

Active
55%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will the AESC PFE compliance issue be fully resolved by end of FY2026?

Active
60%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Dec 15, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will FLNC announce an equity offering or convertible note by end of H1 FY2026?

Resolved
8%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.006
Apr 20, 2026
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

Apr 15, 2026RESOLVED
Will FLNC announce an equity offering or convertible note by end of H1 FY2026?
NOBrier: 0.01
Jun 30, 2026
Will FLNC's Q2 FY2026 adjusted gross margin reach 10% or above?
Prediction: 65%
Jun 30, 2026
Will FLNC's cash position fall below $300M by end of Q2 FY2026?
Prediction: 27%
Dec 15, 2026
Will FLNC announce a data center BESS project entering backlog by Q4 FY2026?
Prediction: 50%
Dec 15, 2026
Will the AESC PFE compliance issue be fully resolved by end of FY2026?
Prediction: 60%
Dec 31, 2026
Will FLNC achieve at least $3.2B in FY2026 revenue (bottom of guidance)?
Prediction: 58%
Dec 31, 2026
Will FLNC achieve positive adjusted EBITDA for full-year FY2026?
Prediction: 55%