Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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FLUT Forecast Markets
Flutter Entertainment plc
7
Active Markets
49%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act advance to a full Senate or House vote by December 31, 2026?
13%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will FanDuel maintain US online sports betting market share above 37% in Q1 2026?
60%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Flutter's net leverage ratio fall below 3.0x by year-end 2026?
30%
Likely No
92% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Flutter's US segment revenue meet or exceed 2026 guidance of $7.8B?
66%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will any US state with legal online sports betting enact a tax rate increase above 40% during 2026?
38%
Likely No
93% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will FanDuel launch a sportsbook-specific loyalty program by June 30, 2026?
74%
Likely Yes
93% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Flutter's US iGaming revenue growth exceed 20% YoY in H1 2026?
63%
Likely Yes
91% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
Jul 15, 2026
Will FanDuel launch a sportsbook-specific loyalty program by June 30, 2026?Prediction: 74%
Aug 15, 2026
Will FanDuel maintain US online sports betting market share above 37% in Q1 2026?Prediction: 60%
Jan 15, 2027
Will the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act advance to a full Senate or House vote by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 13%
Jan 15, 2027
Will any US state with legal online sports betting enact a tax rate increase above 40% during 2026?Prediction: 38%