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FRMI Forecast Markets

Fermi Inc.

8
Active Markets
3
Resolved
34%
Avg Probability
Price Above Value
Mar 20, 2026

Our prediction ensemble identifies elevated risk at current levels.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

11 markets

Will the NRC issue a Request for Additional Information (RAI) or supplemental information request on FRMI's COLA application by December 31, 2026?

Active
80%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.80

Will FRMI raise additional equity capital through common stock, preferred stock, or convertible offerings by December 31, 2026?

Active
47%
Likely No
90% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.79

Will FRMI announce a definitive lease agreement with a hyperscale data center tenant by December 31, 2026?

Active
19%
Likely No
93% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will FRMI record an impairment or write-down on construction in progress in any SEC filing by December 31, 2026?

Active
15%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.63

Will FRMI insiders sell shares exceeding 10% of outstanding shares by September 30, 2026?

Active
37%
Likely No
92% agreement
Oct 31, 2026
IG: 0.63

Will FRMI report any revenue from operations by December 31, 2026?

Active
6%
Likely No
98% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.63

Will FRMI's outstanding share count exceed 750 million by December 31, 2026?

Active
42%
Likely No
93% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will FRMI's REIT qualification be formally challenged or questioned by a regulatory body by June 30, 2027?

Active
7%
Likely No
97% agreement
Jul 31, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will FRMI close its $500M MUFG credit facility by September 30, 2026?

Resolved
57%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.185
Mar 30, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will FRMI record an impairment charge on construction in progress by its first 10-K filing?

Resolved
12%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.014
Mar 30, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will FRMI publicly disclose its specific nuclear reactor design by December 31, 2026?

Resolved
52%
Likely Yes
Actual: YES
Brier: 0.230
Mar 30, 2026
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

Jun 30, 2026RESOLVED
Will FRMI record an impairment charge on construction in progress by its first 10-K filing?
NOBrier: 0.01
Oct 31, 2026
Will FRMI insiders sell shares exceeding 10% of outstanding shares by September 30, 2026?
Prediction: 37%
Oct 31, 2026RESOLVED
Will FRMI close its $500M MUFG credit facility by September 30, 2026?
YESBrier: 0.18
Jan 31, 2027
Will the NRC issue a Request for Additional Information (RAI) or supplemental information request on FRMI's COLA application by December 31, 2026?
Prediction: 80%
Jan 31, 2027
Will FRMI raise additional equity capital through common stock, preferred stock, or convertible offerings by December 31, 2026?
Prediction: 47%
Jan 31, 2027
Will FRMI announce a definitive lease agreement with a hyperscale data center tenant by December 31, 2026?
Prediction: 19%
Jan 31, 2027RESOLVED
Will FRMI publicly disclose its specific nuclear reactor design by December 31, 2026?
YESBrier: 0.23
Feb 28, 2027
Will FRMI record an impairment or write-down on construction in progress in any SEC filing by December 31, 2026?
Prediction: 15%
Mar 31, 2027
Will FRMI report any revenue from operations by December 31, 2026?
Prediction: 6%
Mar 31, 2027
Will FRMI's outstanding share count exceed 750 million by December 31, 2026?
Prediction: 42%
Jul 31, 2027
Will FRMI's REIT qualification be formally challenged or questioned by a regulatory body by June 30, 2027?
Prediction: 7%