Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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FRO Forecast Markets
Frontline plc
7
Active Markets
41%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Iran and the US/E3 reach a nuclear framework agreement by December 31, 2026?
15%
Likely No
88% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 1.00
Will average VLCC spot rates fall below $50,000/day for any full calendar month in H2 2026?
28%
Likely No
82% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will VLCC FFA contracts for Q4 2026 be trading above $80,000/day as of September 30, 2026?
50%
Likely No
65% agreement
Oct 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Western nations announce partial easing of Russian oil shipping sanctions by December 31, 2026?
20%
Likely No
85% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Frontline declare a Q2 2026 dividend at or above $0.75 per share?
63%
Likely Yes
78% agreement
Sep 30, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Frontline report FY2026 adjusted EPS above $3.00?
52%
Likely Yes
68% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will at least 5 of the 9 Hemen-acquired VLCCs be delivered to Frontline by December 31, 2026?
56%
Likely Yes
72% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Oct 15, 2026
Will VLCC FFA contracts for Q4 2026 be trading above $80,000/day as of September 30, 2026?Prediction: 50%
Jan 15, 2027
Will Iran and the US/E3 reach a nuclear framework agreement by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 15%
Jan 15, 2027
Will average VLCC spot rates fall below $50,000/day for any full calendar month in H2 2026?Prediction: 28%
Jan 15, 2027
Will Western nations announce partial easing of Russian oil shipping sanctions by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 20%
Mar 15, 2027
Will at least 5 of the 9 Hemen-acquired VLCCs be delivered to Frontline by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 56%