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GEO Forecast Markets

GEO Group Inc

7
Active Markets
55%
Avg Probability
Price Below Value
Apr 9, 2026

Our prediction ensemble suggests potential upside from current levels.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

7 markets

Will ICE have at least one operational warehouse detention facility by year-end 2026?

Active
38%
Likely No
92% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of GEO Group in Menocal (docket 24-758) by June 2027?

Active
51%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jun 30, 2027
IG: 0.80

Will ISAP electronic monitoring participant count exceed 400,000 by year-end 2026?

Active
62%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will GEO Group activate at least 2 additional idle facilities by year-end 2026?

Active
40%
Likely No
94% agreement
Dec 31, 2026
IG: 0.64

Will GEO Group report FY2026 revenue at or above $2.9 billion?

Active
77%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will GEO Group report FY2026 adjusted EBITDA at or above $490 million?

Active
65%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will GEO Group achieve net leverage below 3.0x by year-end 2026?

Active
52%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

Dec 31, 2026
Will ICE have at least one operational warehouse detention facility by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 38%
Dec 31, 2026
Will GEO Group activate at least 2 additional idle facilities by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 40%
Feb 28, 2027
Will ISAP electronic monitoring participant count exceed 400,000 by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 62%
Feb 28, 2027
Will GEO Group report FY2026 revenue at or above $2.9 billion?
Prediction: 77%
Feb 28, 2027
Will GEO Group report FY2026 adjusted EBITDA at or above $490 million?
Prediction: 65%
Feb 28, 2027
Will GEO Group achieve net leverage below 3.0x by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 52%
Jun 30, 2027
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of GEO Group in Menocal (docket 24-758) by June 2027?
Prediction: 51%