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MU Forecast Markets
Micron Technology, Inc.
8
Active Markets
39%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will Micron's FQ2 FY2026 revenue exceed $18.0B?
84%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Apr 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will HBM represent more than 30% of Micron's FY2026 total revenue?
34%
Likely No
92% agreement
Oct 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Samsung achieve HBM4 qualification with NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?
33%
Likely No
93% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will any top-3 cloud hyperscaler (AWS, Azure, GCP) reduce AI infrastructure CapEx guidance by more than 15% by Q4 CY2026?
12%
Likely No
95% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will NVIDIA qualify a second LPDRAM supplier for its data center platforms by December 31, 2026?
22%
Likely No
93% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Micron's average gross margin for FQ3-FQ4 FY2026 remain above 45%?
74%
Likely Yes
91% agreement
Oct 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will Micron report any CHIPS Act milestone delay, deferral request, or clawback proceeding by FY2027 (August 2027)?
23%
Likely No
92% agreement
Sep 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will DRAM spot prices decline more than 15% from their CY2026 peak before December 31, 2026?
30%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Jan 31, 2027
Will Samsung achieve HBM4 qualification with NVIDIA by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 33%
Jan 31, 2027
Will NVIDIA qualify a second LPDRAM supplier for its data center platforms by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 22%
Jan 31, 2027
Will DRAM spot prices decline more than 15% from their CY2026 peak before December 31, 2026?Prediction: 30%