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NCLH Forecast Markets
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
7
Active Markets
43%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will NCLH cut its FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guide below $2.85B by Q3 2026 earnings?
32%
Likely No
93% agreement
Nov 30, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will NCLH refinance, tender, or exchange its 2027 exchangeable notes before November 17, 2026?
80%
Likely Yes
95% agreement
Nov 17, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will NCLH announce a Regent or Oceania divestiture or strategic alternatives process before the Elliott Cooperation Period expires on 2027-02-11?
32%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 11, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will NCLH's Q1 2026 net yield meet or beat the -1.6% YoY guide?
60%
Likely Yes
93% agreement
May 31, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will NCLH trade at or below $15.00 (intraday or close) before 2026-08-31?
22%
Likely No
96% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will NCLH announce a new COO, CMO, CHRO, or EVP-level external hire before 2026-08-31?
58%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Aug 31, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will RCL or CCL cut its FY2026 yield or EBITDA guide by >200 bps or >$150M by 2026-09-30?
18%
Likely No
95% agreement
Sep 30, 2026
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Aug 31, 2026
Will NCLH trade at or below $15.00 (intraday or close) before 2026-08-31?Prediction: 22%
Aug 31, 2026
Will NCLH announce a new COO, CMO, CHRO, or EVP-level external hire before 2026-08-31?Prediction: 58%
Sep 30, 2026
Will RCL or CCL cut its FY2026 yield or EBITDA guide by >200 bps or >$150M by 2026-09-30?Prediction: 18%
Nov 17, 2026
Will NCLH refinance, tender, or exchange its 2027 exchangeable notes before November 17, 2026?Prediction: 80%
Nov 30, 2026
Will NCLH cut its FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA guide below $2.85B by Q3 2026 earnings?Prediction: 32%