Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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NG Forecast Markets
Novagold Resources
7
Active Markets
39%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Donlin Gold BFS capital cost estimate come in below $10B?
13%
Likely No
94% agreement
Sep 30, 2027
IG: 1.00
Will NOVAGOLD's cash position fall below $50M before announcing a capital raise?
16%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will NOVAGOLD announce an equity raise exceeding $100M by end of 2026?
68%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will the USACE complete the Donlin Gold SEIS by June 2027?
36%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jul 15, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will gold prices remain above $2,400/oz through end of 2026?
68%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.60
Will NOVAGOLD announce a BFS prime contractor selection by end of Q2 2026?
50%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will NOVAGOLD exercise the $100M prepayment option on the Barrick promissory note by December 2026?
20%
Likely No
94% agreement
Dec 15, 2026
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
Jul 15, 2026
Will NOVAGOLD announce a BFS prime contractor selection by end of Q2 2026?Prediction: 50%
Dec 15, 2026
Will NOVAGOLD exercise the $100M prepayment option on the Barrick promissory note by December 2026?Prediction: 20%
Mar 31, 2027
Will NOVAGOLD's cash position fall below $50M before announcing a capital raise?Prediction: 16%