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PL Forecast Markets

Planet Labs PBC

7
Active Markets
38%
Avg Probability
Price Above Value
Mar 20, 2026

Our prediction ensemble identifies elevated risk at current levels.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

7 markets

Will Planet Labs receive a SHIELD IDIQ task order award by Q2 FY2027 (July 2026)?

Active
33%
Likely No
92% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will Planet Labs FY2027 non-GAAP gross margin fall below 50%?

Active
30%
Likely No
92% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will Planet Labs commercial revenue return to YoY growth in FY2027?

Active
40%
Likely No
92% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will Planet Labs Q1 FY2027 revenue exceed $91M (high end of guidance)?

Active
56%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jun 15, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will Planet Labs FY2027 revenue exceed $440M (high end of guidance)?

Active
47%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.60

Will Planet Labs announce a new sovereign Satellite Services contract by H1 FY2027 (July 2026)?

Active
48%
Likely No
92% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.48

Will Planet Labs report positive GAAP net income for any quarter in FY2027?

Active
9%
Likely No
96% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

Jun 15, 2026
Will Planet Labs Q1 FY2027 revenue exceed $91M (high end of guidance)?
Prediction: 56%
Aug 15, 2026
Will Planet Labs receive a SHIELD IDIQ task order award by Q2 FY2027 (July 2026)?
Prediction: 33%
Aug 15, 2026
Will Planet Labs announce a new sovereign Satellite Services contract by H1 FY2027 (July 2026)?
Prediction: 48%
Mar 31, 2027
Will Planet Labs FY2027 non-GAAP gross margin fall below 50%?
Prediction: 30%
Mar 31, 2027
Will Planet Labs commercial revenue return to YoY growth in FY2027?
Prediction: 40%
Mar 31, 2027
Will Planet Labs FY2027 revenue exceed $440M (high end of guidance)?
Prediction: 47%
Mar 31, 2027
Will Planet Labs report positive GAAP net income for any quarter in FY2027?
Prediction: 9%