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PTON Forecast Markets
Peloton Interactive
7
Active Markets
42%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Peloton's Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions fall below 2.5M by end of FY2026?
22%
Likely No
92% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Peloton report a quarter with positive YoY revenue growth by end of CY2026?
18%
Likely No
92% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Peloton's net monthly churn rate exceed 2.5% in any FY2026 quarter?
20%
Likely No
92% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Peloton complete its $1B term loan refinancing by end of CY2026?
77%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Peloton's FY2026 normalized free cash flow exceed $200M?
70%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Sep 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will tariff-related costs for Peloton exceed $70M annualized by end of CY2026?
28%
Likely No
92% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Peloton announce a permanent CFO appointment by end of Q4 FY2026 (June 2026)?
60%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
Jul 15, 2026
Will Peloton announce a permanent CFO appointment by end of Q4 FY2026 (June 2026)?Prediction: 60%
Sep 15, 2026
Will Peloton's Paid Connected Fitness Subscriptions fall below 2.5M by end of FY2026?Prediction: 22%
Jan 15, 2027
Will tariff-related costs for Peloton exceed $70M annualized by end of CY2026?Prediction: 28%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Peloton report a quarter with positive YoY revenue growth by end of CY2026?Prediction: 18%