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RGTI Forecast Markets
Rigetti Computing, Inc.
7
Active Markets
41%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Rigetti deploy its 108-qubit system with verified 99.5% median 2-qubit gate fidelity by June 30, 2026?
72%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Jul 31, 2026
IG: 0.80
Will Rigetti be selected for DARPA QBI Phase B by December 31, 2026?
35%
Likely No
92% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will RGTI stock price decline more than 50% from its March 2026 level at any point before December 31, 2026?
43%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Rigetti announce a 150+ qubit system achieving 99.7% median 2-qubit gate fidelity by December 31, 2026?
23%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will the National Quantum Initiative be reauthorized at or above $1.5B (5-year total) by December 31, 2026?
17%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will Rigetti's FY2026 total revenue exceed $20M?
55%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Rigetti successfully deliver and validate the C-DAC 108-qubit system by December 31, 2026?
45%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Resolution Timeline
Jul 31, 2026
Will Rigetti deploy its 108-qubit system with verified 99.5% median 2-qubit gate fidelity by June 30, 2026?Prediction: 72%
Jan 15, 2027
Will RGTI stock price decline more than 50% from its March 2026 level at any point before December 31, 2026?Prediction: 43%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Rigetti announce a 150+ qubit system achieving 99.7% median 2-qubit gate fidelity by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 23%
Jan 31, 2027
Will the National Quantum Initiative be reauthorized at or above $1.5B (5-year total) by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 17%
Mar 15, 2027
Will Rigetti successfully deliver and validate the C-DAC 108-qubit system by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 45%