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ROST Forecast Markets

Ross Stores, Inc.

8
Active Markets
31%
Avg Probability
Price Above Value
Mar 29, 2026

Our prediction ensemble identifies elevated risk at current levels.

8 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

8 markets

Will ROST's Q1 FY2026 comparable store sales growth come in below +7%?

Active
19%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jun 15, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will ROST's full-year FY2026 comp store sales growth exceed TJX's by more than 100 basis points?

Active
22%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.80

Will ROST report comp store sales growth below +3% in either Q3 or Q4 FY2026?

Active
62%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will ROST's FY2026 full-year operating margin fall below 12.0%?

Active
39%
Likely No
95% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will there be a material US tariff reduction or trade deal by December 31, 2026 that reduces the current tariff regime?

Active
14%
Likely No
95% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.60

Will ROST's packaway inventory percentage fall below 35% by end of FY2026?

Active
52%
Likely Yes
91% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index average above 65 for any consecutive 2-month period through December 2026?

Active
21%
Likely No
93% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will CEO Jim Conroy make any discretionary stock sale by December 31, 2026?

Active
20%
Likely No
93% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

Jun 15, 2026
Will ROST's Q1 FY2026 comparable store sales growth come in below +7%?
Prediction: 19%
Jan 15, 2027
Will there be a material US tariff reduction or trade deal by December 31, 2026 that reduces the current tariff regime?
Prediction: 14%
Jan 15, 2027
Will the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index average above 65 for any consecutive 2-month period through December 2026?
Prediction: 21%
Jan 15, 2027
Will CEO Jim Conroy make any discretionary stock sale by December 31, 2026?
Prediction: 20%
Mar 31, 2027
Will ROST's full-year FY2026 comp store sales growth exceed TJX's by more than 100 basis points?
Prediction: 22%
Mar 31, 2027
Will ROST report comp store sales growth below +3% in either Q3 or Q4 FY2026?
Prediction: 62%
Mar 31, 2027
Will ROST's FY2026 full-year operating margin fall below 12.0%?
Prediction: 39%
Mar 31, 2027
Will ROST's packaway inventory percentage fall below 35% by end of FY2026?
Prediction: 52%