ROST Forecast Markets

Ross Stores, Inc.

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Active Markets

31%

Avg Probability

Price Above Value

Mar 29, 2026

Our prediction ensemble identifies elevated risk at current levels.

8 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM

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All Markets

8 markets

Will ROST's Q1 FY2026 comparable store sales growth come in below +7%?

Will ROST's full-year FY2026 comp store sales growth exceed TJX's by more than 100 basis points?

Will ROST report comp store sales growth below +3% in either Q3 or Q4 FY2026?

Will ROST's FY2026 full-year operating margin fall below 12.0%?

Will there be a material US tariff reduction or trade deal by December 31, 2026 that reduces the current tariff regime?

Will ROST's packaway inventory percentage fall below 35% by end of FY2026?

Will the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index average above 65 for any consecutive 2-month period through December 2026?

Will CEO Jim Conroy make any discretionary stock sale by December 31, 2026?

Resolution Timeline

Jun 15, 2026

Will ROST's Q1 FY2026 comparable store sales growth come in below +7%?

Prediction: 19%

Jan 15, 2027

Will there be a material US tariff reduction or trade deal by December 31, 2026 that reduces the current tariff regime?

Prediction: 14%

Jan 15, 2027

Will the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index average above 65 for any consecutive 2-month period through December 2026?

Prediction: 21%

Jan 15, 2027

Will CEO Jim Conroy make any discretionary stock sale by December 31, 2026?

Prediction: 20%

Mar 31, 2027

Will ROST's full-year FY2026 comp store sales growth exceed TJX's by more than 100 basis points?

Prediction: 22%

Mar 31, 2027

Will ROST report comp store sales growth below +3% in either Q3 or Q4 FY2026?

Prediction: 62%

Mar 31, 2027

Will ROST's FY2026 full-year operating margin fall below 12.0%?

Prediction: 39%

Mar 31, 2027

Will ROST's packaway inventory percentage fall below 35% by end of FY2026?

Prediction: 52%