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SOC Forecast Markets
Sable Offshore Corp.
6
Active Markets
38%
Avg Probability
All Markets
6 markets
Will Sable Offshore report any commercial oil revenue by December 31, 2026?
32%
Likely No
92% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will the SEC or SDNY file an enforcement action against Sable Offshore or its officers by December 31, 2026?
25%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.72
Will Sable Offshore's cash balance fall below $50M before reporting any revenue?
35%
Likely No
92% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.68
Will Sable Offshore commission an OS&T vessel and begin oil processing operations by December 31, 2026?
28%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64
Will a federal court issue a definitive ruling on preemption of California pipeline regulations for SYU by December 31, 2026?
35%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.56
Will Sable Offshore conduct another equity capital raise in 2026 (beyond the Feb 2026 private placement)?
75%
Likely Yes
93% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.52
Resolution Timeline
Nov 15, 2026
Will Sable Offshore's cash balance fall below $50M before reporting any revenue?Prediction: 35%
Jan 15, 2027
Will the SEC or SDNY file an enforcement action against Sable Offshore or its officers by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 25%
Jan 15, 2027
Will Sable Offshore conduct another equity capital raise in 2026 (beyond the Feb 2026 private placement)?Prediction: 75%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Sable Offshore commission an OS&T vessel and begin oil processing operations by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 28%
Mar 15, 2027
Will Sable Offshore report any commercial oil revenue by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 32%