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STLD Forecast Markets

Steel Dynamics

7
Active Markets
44%
Avg Probability
Price Below Value
Mar 27, 2026

Our prediction ensemble suggests potential upside from current levels.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

7 markets

Will STLD's Aluminum Dynamics mill reach 90% utilization by year-end 2026?

Active
36%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.80

Will STLD's Aluminum Dynamics segment generate over $300M EBITDA in FY2026?

Active
28%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.80

Will US HRC steel prices average above $750/ton in H2 2026?

Active
62%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will STLD generate over $1.5B in free cash flow in FY2026?

Active
40%
Likely No
92% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.60

Will Section 232 steel tariffs remain at or above 25% through year-end 2026?

Active
82%
Likely Yes
96% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will STLD announce a definitive agreement to acquire BlueScope or its North American assets by year-end 2026?

Active
15%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will STLD achieve steel shipments above 14 million tons in FY2026?

Active
47%
Likely No
94% agreement
Feb 15, 2027
IG: 0.36

Resolution Timeline

Jan 15, 2027
Will Section 232 steel tariffs remain at or above 25% through year-end 2026?
Prediction: 82%
Jan 15, 2027
Will STLD announce a definitive agreement to acquire BlueScope or its North American assets by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 15%
Jan 31, 2027
Will US HRC steel prices average above $750/ton in H2 2026?
Prediction: 62%
Feb 15, 2027
Will STLD's Aluminum Dynamics mill reach 90% utilization by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 36%
Feb 15, 2027
Will STLD achieve steel shipments above 14 million tons in FY2026?
Prediction: 47%
Mar 15, 2027
Will STLD's Aluminum Dynamics segment generate over $300M EBITDA in FY2026?
Prediction: 28%
Mar 15, 2027
Will STLD generate over $1.5B in free cash flow in FY2026?
Prediction: 40%