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TAP Forecast Markets

Molson Coors Beverage Company

7
Active Markets
34%
Avg Probability
Price at Value
Mar 27, 2026

Our prediction ensemble suggests price is consistent with fundamentals.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

7 markets

Will TAP's U.S. brand volume decline exceed 5% in Q1 2026?

Active
47%
Likely No
93% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will TAP's net debt/underlying EBITDA exceed 2.5x by year-end 2026?

Active
52%
Likely Yes
93% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.72

Will TAP's cost savings program deliver above $150M in 2026?

Active
38%
Likely No
95% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will TAP's Q2 2026 gross margin exceed 39%?

Active
33%
Likely No
95% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.60

Will TAP's FY2026 underlying EPS exceed $5.00?

Active
25%
Likely No
95% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.56

Will Bud Light recover to pre-controversy U.S. market share levels by year-end 2026?

Active
14%
Likely No
95% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.52

Will TAP record additional goodwill or intangible impairments in FY2026?

Active
30%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 15, 2027
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

Aug 15, 2026
Will TAP's U.S. brand volume decline exceed 5% in Q1 2026?
Prediction: 47%
Nov 15, 2026
Will TAP's Q2 2026 gross margin exceed 39%?
Prediction: 33%
Mar 15, 2027
Will TAP's net debt/underlying EBITDA exceed 2.5x by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 52%
Mar 15, 2027
Will TAP's cost savings program deliver above $150M in 2026?
Prediction: 38%
Mar 15, 2027
Will TAP's FY2026 underlying EPS exceed $5.00?
Prediction: 25%
Mar 15, 2027
Will Bud Light recover to pre-controversy U.S. market share levels by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 14%
Mar 15, 2027
Will TAP record additional goodwill or intangible impairments in FY2026?
Prediction: 30%