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TSEM Forecast Markets
Tower Semiconductor
7
Active Markets
41%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will Tower Semiconductor report all $920M SiPho/SiGe tools qualified by December 2026?
38%
Likely No
90% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Tower Semiconductor achieve $2B or more in total revenue for fiscal year 2026?
45%
Likely No
85% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Tower Semiconductor demonstrate a 3.2T silicon photonics prototype by mid-2026?
48%
Likely No
85% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Tower Semiconductor's SiPho quarterly wafer revenue remain above $90M in Q2 2026?
77%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Aug 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will any Tower Semiconductor customer cancel or materially renegotiate SiPho capacity reservations by Q3 2026?
18%
Likely No
92% agreement
Nov 15, 2026
IG: 0.60
Will the Intel Fab 11X dispute resolve favorably for Tower by end of 2026?
32%
Likely No
88% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Tower Semiconductor's Q1 2026 effective tax rate exceed 17%?
30%
Likely No
90% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
Aug 15, 2026
Will Tower Semiconductor demonstrate a 3.2T silicon photonics prototype by mid-2026?Prediction: 48%
Aug 15, 2026
Will Tower Semiconductor's SiPho quarterly wafer revenue remain above $90M in Q2 2026?Prediction: 77%
Jan 31, 2027
Will the Intel Fab 11X dispute resolve favorably for Tower by end of 2026?Prediction: 32%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Tower Semiconductor report all $920M SiPho/SiGe tools qualified by December 2026?Prediction: 38%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Tower Semiconductor achieve $2B or more in total revenue for fiscal year 2026?Prediction: 45%