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ULTA Forecast Markets
Ulta Beauty, Inc.
7
Active Markets
1
Resolved
24%
Avg Probability
All Markets
8 markets
Will Ulta Beauty's FY2026 full-year operating margin exceed 14.0%?
5%
Likely No
15%5%after Q4 FY2025 earnings
98% agreement
Apr 15, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Ulta Beauty announce quantified SG&A cost optimization targets at its March 2026 Analyst Day or Q4 FY2025 earnings call?
28%
Likely No
58%28%after Q4 FY2025 earnings
93% agreement
Apr 30, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Ulta Beauty record a goodwill impairment or restructuring charge related to Space NK by Q2 FY2026?
8%
Likely No
12%8%after Q4 FY2025 earnings
96% agreement
Sep 30, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will Ulta Beauty's FY2026 full-year comparable store sales growth exceed 3.0%?
52%
Likely Yes
58%52%after Q4 FY2025 earnings
90% agreement
Apr 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will the Garvey v. Ulta Beauty Conscious Beauty class action (N.D. Cal.) achieve class certification by December 31, 2026?
22%
Likely No
23%22%after Q4 FY2025 earnings
96% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Ulta Beauty's FY2025 inventory turnover ratio fall below 3.50x?
20%
Likely No
53%20%after Q4 FY2025 earnings
93% agreement
May 15, 2026
IG: 0.48
Will any MoCRA enforcement action directly impact Ulta Beauty or a top-10 Ulta brand partner by December 31, 2026?
25%
Likely No
27%25%after Q4 FY2025 earnings
93% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Ulta Beauty's Q4 FY2025 operating margin fall below 12.0%?
30%
Likely No
Actual: NO
Brier: 0.090Mar 12, 2026
IG: 0.80
Resolution Timeline
Sep 30, 2026
Will Ulta Beauty record a goodwill impairment or restructuring charge related to Space NK by Q2 FY2026?Prediction: 8%
Apr 15, 2027
Will Ulta Beauty's FY2026 full-year comparable store sales growth exceed 3.0%?Prediction: 52%