Archived research. Equity forecasting is part of the Runchey Research archive (methodology era 1) and is no longer actively updated. Everything remains published at its original URL. Browse the archive
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VG Forecast Markets
Venture Global
7
Active Markets
37%
Avg Probability
All Markets
7 markets
Will BP's arbitration damages award against Venture Global exceed $500M?
28%
Likely No
92% agreement
Dec 31, 2027
IG: 1.00
Will Venture Global's FY2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA fall below $5.0B?
22%
Likely No
94% agreement
Mar 31, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Plaquemines LNG Phase 1 achieve Commercial Operations Date (COD) by March 31, 2027?
58%
Likely Yes
92% agreement
Apr 30, 2027
IG: 0.80
Will Venture Global achieve Final Investment Decision (FID) for CP2 Phase 2 by June 30, 2026?
70%
Likely Yes
94% agreement
Jul 15, 2026
IG: 0.64
Will the TTF-Henry Hub natural gas spread average below $3/MMBtu for any calendar quarter in 2026?
17%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will any VG officer or director make an open market stock purchase of $100K+ by December 31, 2026?
12%
Likely No
96% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48
Will Venture Global receive FERC authorization for at least one bolt-on LNG expansion by December 31, 2026?
50%
Likely No
94% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.36
Resolution Timeline
Jul 15, 2026
Will Venture Global achieve Final Investment Decision (FID) for CP2 Phase 2 by June 30, 2026?Prediction: 70%
Jan 31, 2027
Will the TTF-Henry Hub natural gas spread average below $3/MMBtu for any calendar quarter in 2026?Prediction: 17%
Jan 31, 2027
Will any VG officer or director make an open market stock purchase of $100K+ by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 12%
Jan 31, 2027
Will Venture Global receive FERC authorization for at least one bolt-on LNG expansion by December 31, 2026?Prediction: 50%
Mar 31, 2027
Will Venture Global's FY2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA fall below $5.0B?Prediction: 22%
Apr 30, 2027
Will Plaquemines LNG Phase 1 achieve Commercial Operations Date (COD) by March 31, 2027?Prediction: 58%