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CXActive

Will CX execute at least $250M of the $500M buyback authorization in 2026?

Resolves January 31, 2027(297d)

IG: 0.48

Current Prediction

40%

Likely No

Model Agreement97%

Predictions9 runs

Last UpdatedApril 8, 2026

Why This Question Matters

$500M buyback authorized but previous authorizations went unused. Execution demonstrates conviction. Perpetual notes refinancing competes for capital.

GOVERNANCE_ALIGNMENT

Prediction Distribution

0%25%50%75%100%

opus

sonnet

haiku

Range: 35% – 45%Aggregate: 40%

Individual Predictions(9 runs)

opusRun 1

42%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

opusRun 2

40%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

opusRun 3

45%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

sonnetRun 1

38%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

sonnetRun 2

35%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

sonnetRun 3

40%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

haikuRun 1

40%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

haikuRun 2

38%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

haikuRun 3

38%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if $250M+ repurchased in 2026. Resolves NO if below.

Resolution Source

CX quarterly earnings or 20-F

Source Trigger

$500M authorization unused; credibility depends on action

insider-investigatorGOVERNANCE_ALIGNMENTMEDIUM

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