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CX Forecast Markets

Cemex S.A.B. de C.V.

7
Active Markets
57%
Avg Probability
Price Below Value
Apr 8, 2026

Our prediction ensemble suggests potential upside from current levels.

7 markets analyzedConfidence: MEDIUM
Read Full Thesis

All Markets

7 markets

Will CX successfully refinance or redeem the $2B perpetual notes before September 2026 reset?

Active
67%
Likely Yes
97% agreement
Sep 30, 2026
IG: 0.80

Will CX Mexico cement volumes grow above 2% in FY2026?

Active
55%
Likely Yes
97% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will CX achieve net US cement price increases of $8/ton or more in FY2026?

Active
50%
Likely No
97% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will Project Cutting Edge cumulative savings exceed $300M by year-end 2026?

Active
66%
Likely Yes
97% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.64

Will CX FCF conversion rate remain above 45% in FY2026?

Active
57%
Likely Yes
97% agreement
Feb 28, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will the Colombia divestiture receive regulatory approval by year-end 2026?

Active
67%
Likely Yes
97% agreement
Jan 15, 2027
IG: 0.48

Will CX execute at least $250M of the $500M buyback authorization in 2026?

Active
40%
Likely No
97% agreement
Jan 31, 2027
IG: 0.48

Resolution Timeline

Sep 30, 2026
Will CX successfully refinance or redeem the $2B perpetual notes before September 2026 reset?
Prediction: 67%
Jan 15, 2027
Will the Colombia divestiture receive regulatory approval by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 67%
Jan 31, 2027
Will CX execute at least $250M of the $500M buyback authorization in 2026?
Prediction: 40%
Feb 28, 2027
Will CX Mexico cement volumes grow above 2% in FY2026?
Prediction: 55%
Feb 28, 2027
Will CX achieve net US cement price increases of $8/ton or more in FY2026?
Prediction: 50%
Feb 28, 2027
Will Project Cutting Edge cumulative savings exceed $300M by year-end 2026?
Prediction: 66%
Feb 28, 2027
Will CX FCF conversion rate remain above 45% in FY2026?
Prediction: 57%