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Will Project Cutting Edge cumulative savings exceed $300M by year-end 2026?

Resolves February 28, 2027(325d)

IG: 0.64

Current Prediction

66%

Likely Yes

Model Agreement97%

Predictions9 runs

Last UpdatedApril 8, 2026

Why This Question Matters

$200M realized in 2025, primarily overhead. Remaining from operating initiatives. $300M cumulative by year-end 2026 confirms operating savings materializing.

ACCOUNTING_INTEGRITY

Prediction Distribution

0%25%50%75%100%

opus

sonnet

haiku

Range: 62% – 72%Aggregate: 66%

Individual Predictions(9 runs)

opusRun 1

70%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

opusRun 2

68%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

opusRun 3

72%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

sonnetRun 1

65%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

sonnetRun 2

62%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

sonnetRun 3

65%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

haikuRun 1

67%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

haikuRun 2

65%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

haikuRun 3

66%

See prediction context for full analysis.

See prediction-context.md

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if cumulative savings >$300M by year-end 2026. Resolves NO if below.

Resolution Source

CX quarterly earnings materials

Source Trigger

$200M realized in 2025; $400M target by 2027; half overhead done, half operating execution-dependent

fugazi-filterACCOUNTING_INTEGRITYMEDIUM

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