MIRActive

Will MIR report Q1 2026 organic revenue growth at or above guided levels?

Resolves May 15, 2026(36d)

IG: 0.48

Current Prediction

62%

Likely Yes

Model Agreement97%

Predictions9 runs

Last UpdatedApril 8, 2026

Prediction Distribution

0%25%50%75%100%

opus

sonnet

haiku

Range: 58% – 65%Aggregate: 62%

Individual Predictions(9 runs)

opusRun 1

65%

Conservative guides met ~70% of time. 90%+ nuclear plant presence provides stable base.

Conservative guides met ~70% of time. 90%+ nuclear plant presence provides stabl

opusRun 2

62%

Flat N&S guide achievable from installed base. Medical mid-single-digit supported by Q4 trends.

Flat N&S guide achievable from installed base. Medical mid-single-digit supporte

opusRun 3

63%

Conservative guides with Q1 order book visibility. Nuclear services contracts provide predictable revenue.

Conservative guides with Q1 order book visibility. Nuclear services contracts pr

sonnetRun 1

60%

Conservative guides met ~70% of time. 90%+ nuclear plant presence provides stable base.

Conservative guides met ~70% of time. 90%+ nuclear plant presence provides stabl

sonnetRun 2

62%

Flat N&S guide achievable from installed base. Medical mid-single-digit supported by Q4 trends.

Flat N&S guide achievable from installed base. Medical mid-single-digit supporte

sonnetRun 3

58%

Conservative guides with Q1 order book visibility. Nuclear services contracts provide predictable revenue.

Conservative guides with Q1 order book visibility. Nuclear services contracts pr

haikuRun 1

63%

Conservative guides met ~70% of time. 90%+ nuclear plant presence provides stable base.

Conservative guides met ~70% of time. 90%+ nuclear plant presence provides stabl

haikuRun 2

60%

Flat N&S guide achievable from installed base. Medical mid-single-digit supported by Q4 trends.

Flat N&S guide achievable from installed base. Medical mid-single-digit supporte

haikuRun 3

62%

Conservative guides with Q1 order book visibility. Nuclear services contracts provide predictable revenue.

Conservative guides with Q1 order book visibility. Nuclear services contracts pr

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if MIR reports Q1 2026 organic growth at or above guided levels (flat N&S, mid-single-digit Medical). Resolves NO if either segment misses.

Resolution Source

Mirion Q1 2026 earnings release

Source Trigger

Q1 2026 organic growth: Management guided flat N&S organic, mid-single-digit medical.

gravy-gaugeREVENUE_DURABILITYHIGH

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