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PSKYActive

Will CBS/Paramount announce a new NFL broadcasting deal by December 31, 2026?

Resolves December 31, 2026(289d)
IG: 0.48

Current Prediction

72%
Likely Yes
Model Agreement85%
Predictions9 runs
Last UpdatedMarch 16, 2026

Prediction Distribution

0%25%50%75%100%
opus
sonnet
haiku
Range: 67%77%Aggregate: 72%
Individual Predictions(9 runs)
opusRun 1
77%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
opusRun 2
69%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
opusRun 3
74%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
sonnetRun 1
67%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
sonnetRun 2
76%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
sonnetRun 3
70%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
haikuRun 1
73%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
haikuRun 2
68%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
haikuRun 3
75%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if CBS/Paramount publicly announces a new or extended NFL broadcasting rights agreement by December 31, 2026. Resolves NO if no agreement is announced by that date.

Resolution Source

Paramount press releases, NFL press releases, 8-K filings

Source Trigger

NFL broadcasting renewal terms. Rights cost increase >30% or loss of package would require major reassessment of CBS broadcast moat.

moat-mapperCOMPETITIVE_POSITIONHIGH
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