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Will Paramount+ reach 85 million or more global subscribers by Q4 2026?
Current Prediction
Prediction Distribution
Individual Predictions(9 runs)
Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.
Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.
Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.
Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.
Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.
Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.
Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.
Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.
Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.
Resolution Criteria
Resolves YES if PSKY reports Paramount+ global subscribers of 85 million or more at any point during FY2026 (any quarterly disclosure). Resolves NO if Paramount+ remains below 85 million through the Q4 2026 earnings report.
Resolution Source
PSKY quarterly earnings releases, 10-Q filings, shareholder letters
Source Trigger
Paramount+ net subscriber additions. Net negative for 2 consecutive quarters would downgrade REVENUE_DURABILITY to FRAGILE.
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