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Will PSKY report cumulative Skydance merger synergies of $2 billion or more by the Q2 2026 earnings release?

Resolves August 31, 2026(167d)
IG: 0.80

Current Prediction

58%
Likely Yes
Model Agreement75%
Predictions9 runs
Last UpdatedMarch 16, 2026

Prediction Distribution

0%25%50%75%100%
opus
sonnet
haiku
Range: 53%63%Aggregate: 58%
Individual Predictions(9 runs)
opusRun 1
63%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
opusRun 2
55%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
opusRun 3
60%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
sonnetRun 1
53%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
sonnetRun 2
62%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
sonnetRun 3
56%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
haikuRun 1
59%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
haikuRun 2
54%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence
haikuRun 3
61%

Prediction based on PSKY analysis pipeline outputs and monitoring triggers.

Source analysis findingsHistorical patternsCross-lens evidence

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if PSKY discloses cumulative realized synergies of $2 billion or more from the Skydance-Paramount merger in the Q2 2026 earnings release, shareholder letter, or 10-Q filing. Resolves NO if synergies remain below $2 billion or if management stops disclosing specific synergy figures.

Resolution Source

PSKY Q2 2026 earnings release, 10-Q filing, shareholder letter

Source Trigger

Skydance-Paramount synergy realization rate. Less than $2B realized by Q2 2026 would indicate integration execution underperformance.

consolidation-calibratorCAPITAL_DEPLOYMENTHIGH
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