RuncheyResearch
Back to Forecasting
QXOActive

Will QXO file a DEF 14A proxy statement by end of 2026?

Resolves January 15, 2027(281d)
IG: 0.48

Current Prediction

70%
Likely Yes
Model Agreement97%
Predictions9 runs
Last UpdatedApril 8, 2026

Why This Question Matters

No DEF 14A proxy statement has been filed, preventing full governance assessment. Filing would enable evaluation of board independence, compensation structure, and related-party transactions. Continued absence escalates the MIXED governance signal from the Fugazi Filter.

GOVERNANCE_ALIGNMENTACCOUNTING_INTEGRITY

Prediction Distribution

0%25%50%75%100%
opus
sonnet
haiku
Range: 65% – 75%Aggregate: 70%
Individual Predictions(9 runs)
opusRun 1
72%

Assessment based on analysis committee findings, monitoring triggers, and available financial data. Probability reflects balance of identified risk factors against growth catalysts, weighted by evidence level and model agreement from source analysis.

Analysis committee signal assessmentMonitoring trigger evaluationHistorical pattern analysis
opusRun 2
68%

Assessment based on analysis committee findings, monitoring triggers, and available financial data. Probability reflects balance of identified risk factors against growth catalysts, weighted by evidence level and model agreement from source analysis.

Analysis committee signal assessmentMonitoring trigger evaluationHistorical pattern analysis
opusRun 3
75%

Assessment based on analysis committee findings, monitoring triggers, and available financial data. Probability reflects balance of identified risk factors against growth catalysts, weighted by evidence level and model agreement from source analysis.

Analysis committee signal assessmentMonitoring trigger evaluationHistorical pattern analysis
sonnetRun 1
70%

Assessment based on analysis committee findings, monitoring triggers, and available financial data. Probability reflects balance of identified risk factors against growth catalysts, weighted by evidence level and model agreement from source analysis.

Analysis committee signal assessmentMonitoring trigger evaluationHistorical pattern analysis
sonnetRun 2
73%

Assessment based on analysis committee findings, monitoring triggers, and available financial data. Probability reflects balance of identified risk factors against growth catalysts, weighted by evidence level and model agreement from source analysis.

Analysis committee signal assessmentMonitoring trigger evaluationHistorical pattern analysis
sonnetRun 3
65%

Assessment based on analysis committee findings, monitoring triggers, and available financial data. Probability reflects balance of identified risk factors against growth catalysts, weighted by evidence level and model agreement from source analysis.

Analysis committee signal assessmentMonitoring trigger evaluationHistorical pattern analysis
haikuRun 1
69%

Assessment based on analysis committee findings, monitoring triggers, and available financial data. Probability reflects balance of identified risk factors against growth catalysts, weighted by evidence level and model agreement from source analysis.

Analysis committee signal assessmentMonitoring trigger evaluationHistorical pattern analysis
haikuRun 2
71%

Assessment based on analysis committee findings, monitoring triggers, and available financial data. Probability reflects balance of identified risk factors against growth catalysts, weighted by evidence level and model agreement from source analysis.

Analysis committee signal assessmentMonitoring trigger evaluationHistorical pattern analysis
haikuRun 3
67%

Assessment based on analysis committee findings, monitoring triggers, and available financial data. Probability reflects balance of identified risk factors against growth catalysts, weighted by evidence level and model agreement from source analysis.

Analysis committee signal assessmentMonitoring trigger evaluationHistorical pattern analysis

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if QXO files a DEF 14A proxy statement with the SEC by December 31, 2026. Resolves NO if no proxy statement is filed.

Resolution Source

SEC EDGAR filings for QXO

Source Trigger

No DEF 14A proxy statement filed; prevents full governance assessment of board independence and compensation

fugazi-filterGOVERNANCE_ALIGNMENTLOW
View QXO Analysis

Full multi-lens equity analysis