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Will the TEM securities class action (AI-washing) survive the motion to dismiss by December 31, 2026?
Resolves January 15, 2027(304d)
IG: 0.65
Current Prediction
35%
Likely No
Model Agreement72%
Predictions6 runs
Last UpdatedMarch 17, 2026
Prediction Distribution
0%25%50%75%100%
opus
sonnet
Range: 30% – 40%Aggregate: 35%
Individual Predictions(6 runs)
opusRun 1
38%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
opusRun 2
32%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
opusRun 3
40%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
sonnetRun 1
30%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
sonnetRun 2
35%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
sonnetRun 3
33%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
Resolution Criteria
Resolves YES if the court denies the motion to dismiss (in whole or substantial part) by December 31, 2026. Resolves NO if the court grants the motion to dismiss entirely, if the case is voluntarily dismissed, or if no ruling has been made by December 31, 2026.
Resolution Source
Court docket, Tempus 8-K filing, or legal news coverage
Source Trigger
Securities class action motion to dismiss outcome
regulatory-readerREGULATORY_EXPOSUREHIGH
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