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TEMActive
Will Tempus AI report FY2026 adjusted EBITDA at or above $65M guidance?
Resolves March 15, 2027(363d)
IG: 0.55
Current Prediction
72%
Likely Yes
Model Agreement80%
Predictions6 runs
Last UpdatedMarch 17, 2026
Prediction Distribution
0%25%50%75%100%
opus
sonnet
Range: 68% – 78%Aggregate: 72%
Individual Predictions(6 runs)
opusRun 1
75%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
opusRun 2
70%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
opusRun 3
78%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
sonnetRun 1
68%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
sonnetRun 2
72%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
sonnetRun 3
70%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
Resolution Criteria
Resolves YES if Tempus reports FY2026 adjusted EBITDA of $65M or higher in its earnings release. Resolves NO if reported adjusted EBITDA is below $65M.
Resolution Source
Tempus AI earnings release or 10-K filing
Source Trigger
Adjusted EBITDA trajectory and path to profitability
fugazi-filterACCOUNTING_INTEGRITYMEDIUM
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