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TEMActive
Will Tempus AI report FY2026 revenue at or above $1.59B guidance?
Resolves March 15, 2027(363d)
IG: 0.55
Current Prediction
78%
Likely Yes
Model Agreement85%
Predictions6 runs
Last UpdatedMarch 17, 2026
Prediction Distribution
0%25%50%75%100%
opus
sonnet
Range: 75% – 82%Aggregate: 78%
Individual Predictions(6 runs)
opusRun 1
80%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
opusRun 2
75%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
opusRun 3
82%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
sonnetRun 1
76%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
sonnetRun 2
78%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
sonnetRun 3
80%Analysis-based assessment
Primary analysis factors
Resolution Criteria
Resolves YES if Tempus reports FY2026 (calendar year ending Dec 31, 2026) total revenue of $1.59B or higher in its earnings release or 10-K filing. Resolves NO if reported revenue is below $1.59B.
Resolution Source
Tempus AI 10-K filing or Q4 2026 earnings release
Source Trigger
Core organic growth rate (ex-Ambry) vs. headline figure
gravy-gaugeREVENUE_DURABILITYHIGH
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